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Main Authors: Ripoll, Jordi, Avinyó, Albert, Pellicer, Marta, Saldaña, Joan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/1504.05884
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author Ripoll, Jordi
Avinyó, Albert
Pellicer, Marta
Saldaña, Joan
author_facet Ripoll, Jordi
Avinyó, Albert
Pellicer, Marta
Saldaña, Joan
contents We investigate the role of migration patterns on the spread of epidemics in complex networks. We enhance the SIS-diffusion model on metapopulations to a nonlinear diffusion. Specifically, individuals move randomly over the network but at a rate depending on the population of the departure patch. In the absence of epidemics, the migration-driven equilibrium is described by quantifying the total number of individuals living in heavily/lightly populated areas. Our analytical approach reveals that strengthening the migration from populous areas contains the infection at the early stage of the epidemic. Moreover, depending on the exponent of the nonlinear diffusion rate, epidemic outbreaks do not always occur in the most populated areas as one might expect.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_1504_05884
institution arXiv
publishDate 2015
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Impact of density-dependent migration flows on epidemic outbreaks in heterogeneous metapopulations
Ripoll, Jordi
Avinyó, Albert
Pellicer, Marta
Saldaña, Joan
Populations and Evolution
We investigate the role of migration patterns on the spread of epidemics in complex networks. We enhance the SIS-diffusion model on metapopulations to a nonlinear diffusion. Specifically, individuals move randomly over the network but at a rate depending on the population of the departure patch. In the absence of epidemics, the migration-driven equilibrium is described by quantifying the total number of individuals living in heavily/lightly populated areas. Our analytical approach reveals that strengthening the migration from populous areas contains the infection at the early stage of the epidemic. Moreover, depending on the exponent of the nonlinear diffusion rate, epidemic outbreaks do not always occur in the most populated areas as one might expect.
title Impact of density-dependent migration flows on epidemic outbreaks in heterogeneous metapopulations
topic Populations and Evolution
url https://arxiv.org/abs/1504.05884