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Autori principali: Hao, Guang-Yuan, Zhang, Jiji, Huang, Biwei, Wang, Hao, Zhang, Kun
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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Accesso online:https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.01607
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author Hao, Guang-Yuan
Zhang, Jiji
Huang, Biwei
Wang, Hao
Zhang, Kun
author_facet Hao, Guang-Yuan
Zhang, Jiji
Huang, Biwei
Wang, Hao
Zhang, Kun
contents Counterfactual reasoning is pivotal in human cognition and especially important for providing explanations and making decisions. While Judea Pearl's influential approach is theoretically elegant, its generation of a counterfactual scenario often requires too much deviation from the observed scenarios to be feasible, as we show using simple examples. To mitigate this difficulty, we propose a framework of \emph{natural counterfactuals} and a method for generating counterfactuals that are more feasible with respect to the actual data distribution. Our methodology incorporates a certain amount of backtracking when needed, allowing changes in causally preceding variables to minimize deviations from realistic scenarios. Specifically, we introduce a novel optimization framework that permits but also controls the extent of backtracking with a naturalness criterion. Empirical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our method. The code is available at https://github.com/GuangyuanHao/natural_counterfactuals.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2402_01607
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Natural Counterfactuals With Necessary Backtracking
Hao, Guang-Yuan
Zhang, Jiji
Huang, Biwei
Wang, Hao
Zhang, Kun
Artificial Intelligence
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Machine Learning
Neural and Evolutionary Computing
Methodology
Counterfactual reasoning is pivotal in human cognition and especially important for providing explanations and making decisions. While Judea Pearl's influential approach is theoretically elegant, its generation of a counterfactual scenario often requires too much deviation from the observed scenarios to be feasible, as we show using simple examples. To mitigate this difficulty, we propose a framework of \emph{natural counterfactuals} and a method for generating counterfactuals that are more feasible with respect to the actual data distribution. Our methodology incorporates a certain amount of backtracking when needed, allowing changes in causally preceding variables to minimize deviations from realistic scenarios. Specifically, we introduce a novel optimization framework that permits but also controls the extent of backtracking with a naturalness criterion. Empirical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our method. The code is available at https://github.com/GuangyuanHao/natural_counterfactuals.
title Natural Counterfactuals With Necessary Backtracking
topic Artificial Intelligence
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Machine Learning
Neural and Evolutionary Computing
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.01607