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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Xavier, Vitor Pereira
Format: Recurso digital
Language:Portuguese
Published: Zenodo 2026
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18344821
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Table of Contents:
  • <p>This technical-strategic report examines the structural reintegration of nitrogen fertilizer production within Brazil’s downstream industrial configuration for the period 2026–2035.</p> <p>It analyzes the restart of nitrogen fertilizer plants (FAFEN-BA, FAFEN-SE, ANSA) and the projected completion of UFN-III in the context of refining integration, gas allocation dynamics, regulatory incentives (PROFERT), and climate-related supply risks (La Niña).</p> <p>The study evaluates economic viability through gas netback analysis, international urea price benchmarks (CFR Brazil), and domestic industrial integration mechanisms including hydrogen balance optimization and shared utilities.</p> <p>Particular attention is given to the industrial trade-off between thermoelectric dispatch and industrial gas supply, identifying operational risks for fertilizer plants during high-demand electricity cycles.</p> <p>This publication is based exclusively on publicly available data and industrial-economic analysis.</p>