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| Главные авторы: | , , |
|---|---|
| Формат: | Recurso digital |
| Язык: | английский |
| Опубликовано: |
Zenodo
2004
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| Предметы: | |
| Online-ссылка: | https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18706642 |
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Оглавление:
- <p>In Senegalese industrial machinery fleets, maintenance costs can be significantly reduced through effective system reliability forecasting. A comprehensive analysis of historical failure data was conducted using ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) model to forecast future reliability trends. The ARIMA model demonstrated a strong predictive power with an accuracy rate of 85% in forecasting system failures over the next six months, providing actionable insights for maintenance planning. This study validates the effectiveness of time-series models in enhancing industrial machinery fleet reliability management in Senegal. Adoption of these forecasting tools can lead to substantial savings and improved operational efficiency within Senegalese industries. ARIMA, Time-series analysis, System reliability, Industrial maintenance, Senegal The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.</p>