Збережено в:
| Автор: | |
|---|---|
| Формат: | Recurso digital |
| Мова: | Англійська |
| Опубліковано: |
Zenodo
2026
|
| Предмети: | |
| Онлайн доступ: | https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18974172 |
| Теги: |
Додати тег
Немає тегів, Будьте першим, хто поставить тег для цього запису!
|
Зміст:
- <h1>Abstract</h1> <p><span> </span></p> <p>Global Complexity–Stability Theory (GCST) predicts that any accelerating complex system collapses when the imposed rate of change (α) exceeds the system’s recovery capacity (γ), as formalized by the stability index</p> <p><span> </span></p> <p><span></span><span> </span></p> <p>where C is structural complexity.</p> <p><span> </span></p> <p>Mars colonization represents an extreme case of forced acceleration on a planetary scale: human activity seeks to increase C (biosphere, infrastructure, technology) at a rate α ≈ 0.35 ± 0.10 yr<span>⁻</span>¹, far exceeding the natural Martian recovery capacity γ_Mars ≈ 0.05–0.10 yr<span>⁻</span>¹. This results in G_Mars ≈ 0.14–0.29 << 1, leading to rapid accumulation of irrecoverable structural debt and systemic collapse within 15–40 years of active exponential growth — long before a self-sustaining, multi-generational colony can be established.</p> <p><span> </span></p> <p>Large-scale orbital engineering (moving moons, asteroids, or planets) within the Solar System is even more dangerous: such interventions increase α across multiple coupled systems (Earth, Mars, asteroid belt, Jupiter resonances) by 10²–10<span>⁶</span> times the natural background, while no known mechanism exists to raise γ globally. GCST calculates integrated risk to Earth at ~5–30% per major experiment, with consequences ranging from periodic impacts to long-term biospheric R-collapse. Until planetary-scale protective mechanisms capable of maintaining G ≥ 1 are developed, such activities are equivalent to inducing artificial multi-planetary R-collapse and must be prohibited.</p>