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| Autor principal: | |
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| Formato: | Recurso digital |
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| Publicado em: |
Zenodo
2026
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| Assuntos: | |
| Acesso em linha: | https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19145268 |
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Sumário:
- <p>We investigate whether a simple directional metric, dΩ/dt, captures a reproducible structural imbalance pattern across electricity markets.</p> <p> </p> <p>Using real-time price and load data from CAISO (USA) and Germany (ENTSO-E), we define dΩ as the difference between log-changes in load and price and identify extreme negative events.</p> <p> </p> <p>Event-aligned analysis reveals a consistent collapse-and-recovery structure centered at detected points.</p> <p> </p> <p>The same structural pattern is observed across independent markets, indicating that dΩ/dt captures a cross-market structural imbalance signal.</p>