I tiakina i:
Ngā taipitopito rārangi puna kōrero
Kaituhi matua: Martell, Brian
Hōputu: Recurso digital
Reo:
I whakaputaina: Zenodo 2026
Ngā marau:
Urunga tuihono:https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19304292
Ngā Tūtohu: Tāpirihia he Tūtohu
Kāore He Tūtohu, Me noho koe te mea tuatahi ki te tūtohu i tēnei pūkete!
Rārangi ihirangi:
  • <p>Martell Law v2 in three lines:</p> <p><br>Moore’s Law captures one driver of AI progress at /yr — Martell Law captures seven, with empirical calibration from 14 LLMs giving /yr and theoretical sum /yr, making Martell Law 6.5× faster than Moore’s Law with a doubling time of 0.31 years. Power and chips are the two new components — both currently constrained and both being removed, with orbital solar delivering an 18× step change around 2030 that is not gradual improvement but a genuine phase transition activating the recursive  term in the Martell ODE. The AGI coherence order parameter grows as  where  is derived from the  Coxeter number  — the same  geometry that determines the Koide lepton mass formula — predicting a sharper-than-mean-field snap to AGI coherence once orbital compute crosses the critical coupling threshold. </p>