Continuous time analysis of fleeting discrete price moves

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Shephard, Neil, Yang, Justin J.
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2014
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author Shephard, Neil
Yang, Justin J.
author_facet Shephard, Neil
Yang, Justin J.
contents This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically tractable and directly formulated in terms of the calendar time and price impact curve. The resulting càdlàg price process is a piecewise constant semimartingale with finite activity, finite variation and no Brownian motion component. We use moment-based estimations to fit four high frequency futures data sets and demonstrate the descriptive power of our proposed model. This model is able to describe the observed dynamics of price changes over three different orders of magnitude of time intervals.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_1410_7317
institution arXiv
publishDate 2014
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Continuous time analysis of fleeting discrete price moves
Shephard, Neil
Yang, Justin J.
Trading and Market Microstructure
Probability
91G70 (Primary), 60G60 (Secondary)
This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically tractable and directly formulated in terms of the calendar time and price impact curve. The resulting càdlàg price process is a piecewise constant semimartingale with finite activity, finite variation and no Brownian motion component. We use moment-based estimations to fit four high frequency futures data sets and demonstrate the descriptive power of our proposed model. This model is able to describe the observed dynamics of price changes over three different orders of magnitude of time intervals.
title Continuous time analysis of fleeting discrete price moves
topic Trading and Market Microstructure
Probability
91G70 (Primary), 60G60 (Secondary)
url https://arxiv.org/abs/1410.7317