Frequentist properties of Bayesian inequality tests

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Kaplan, David M., Zhuo, Longhao
Format: Preprint
Published: 2016
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author Kaplan, David M.
Zhuo, Longhao
author_facet Kaplan, David M.
Zhuo, Longhao
contents Bayesian and frequentist criteria fundamentally differ, but often posterior and sampling distributions agree asymptotically (e.g., Gaussian with same covariance). For the corresponding single-draw experiment, we characterize the frequentist size of a certain Bayesian hypothesis test of (possibly nonlinear) inequalities. If the null hypothesis is that the (possibly infinite-dimensional) parameter lies in a certain half-space, then the Bayesian test's size is $α$; if the null hypothesis is a subset of a half-space, then size is above $α$; and in other cases, size may be above, below, or equal to $α$. Rejection probabilities at certain points in the parameter space are also characterized. Two examples illustrate our results: translog cost function curvature and ordinal distribution relationships.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_1607_00393
institution arXiv
publishDate 2016
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Frequentist properties of Bayesian inequality tests
Kaplan, David M.
Zhuo, Longhao
Statistics Theory
Econometrics
Methodology
Bayesian and frequentist criteria fundamentally differ, but often posterior and sampling distributions agree asymptotically (e.g., Gaussian with same covariance). For the corresponding single-draw experiment, we characterize the frequentist size of a certain Bayesian hypothesis test of (possibly nonlinear) inequalities. If the null hypothesis is that the (possibly infinite-dimensional) parameter lies in a certain half-space, then the Bayesian test's size is $α$; if the null hypothesis is a subset of a half-space, then size is above $α$; and in other cases, size may be above, below, or equal to $α$. Rejection probabilities at certain points in the parameter space are also characterized. Two examples illustrate our results: translog cost function curvature and ordinal distribution relationships.
title Frequentist properties of Bayesian inequality tests
topic Statistics Theory
Econometrics
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/1607.00393