Estimating Causal Peer Influence in Homophilous Social Networks by Inferring Latent Locations

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Hauptverfasser: McFowland III, Edward, Shalizi, Cosma Rohilla
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2016
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author McFowland III, Edward
Shalizi, Cosma Rohilla
author_facet McFowland III, Edward
Shalizi, Cosma Rohilla
contents Social influence cannot be identified from purely observational data on social networks, because such influence is generically confounded with latent homophily, i.e., with a node's network partners being informative about the node's attributes and therefore its behavior. If the network grows according to either a latent community (stochastic block) model, or a continuous latent space model, then latent homophilous attributes can be consistently estimated from the global pattern of social ties. We show that, for common versions of those two network models, these estimates are so informative that controlling for estimated attributes allows for asymptotically unbiased and consistent estimation of social-influence effects in linear models. In particular, the bias shrinks at a rate which directly reflects how much information the network provides about the latent attributes. These are the first results on the consistent non-experimental estimation of social-influence effects in the presence of latent homophily, and we discuss the prospects for generalizing them.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_1607_06565
institution arXiv
publishDate 2016
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Estimating Causal Peer Influence in Homophilous Social Networks by Inferring Latent Locations
McFowland III, Edward
Shalizi, Cosma Rohilla
Methodology
Social and Information Networks
Physics and Society
Social influence cannot be identified from purely observational data on social networks, because such influence is generically confounded with latent homophily, i.e., with a node's network partners being informative about the node's attributes and therefore its behavior. If the network grows according to either a latent community (stochastic block) model, or a continuous latent space model, then latent homophilous attributes can be consistently estimated from the global pattern of social ties. We show that, for common versions of those two network models, these estimates are so informative that controlling for estimated attributes allows for asymptotically unbiased and consistent estimation of social-influence effects in linear models. In particular, the bias shrinks at a rate which directly reflects how much information the network provides about the latent attributes. These are the first results on the consistent non-experimental estimation of social-influence effects in the presence of latent homophily, and we discuss the prospects for generalizing them.
title Estimating Causal Peer Influence in Homophilous Social Networks by Inferring Latent Locations
topic Methodology
Social and Information Networks
Physics and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/1607.06565