Parallel Experimentation and Competitive Interference on Online Advertising Platforms

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Waisman, Caio, Sahni, Navdeep S., Nair, Harikesh S., Lin, Xiliang
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2019
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author Waisman, Caio
Sahni, Navdeep S.
Nair, Harikesh S.
Lin, Xiliang
author_facet Waisman, Caio
Sahni, Navdeep S.
Nair, Harikesh S.
Lin, Xiliang
contents This paper studies the measurement of advertising effects on online platforms when parallel experimentation occurs, that is, when multiple advertisers experiment concurrently. It provides a framework that makes precise how parallel experimentation affects the experiment's value: while ignoring parallel experimentation yields an estimate of the average effect of advertising in-place, which has limited value in decision-making in an environment with variable advertising competition, accounting for parallel experimentation captures the actual uncertainty advertisers face due to competitive actions. It then implements an experimental design that enables the estimation of these effects on JD.com, a large e-commerce platform that is also a publisher of digital ads. Using traditional and kernel-based estimators, it shows that not accounting for competitive actions can result in the advertiser inaccurately estimating the advertising lift by a factor of two or higher, which can be consequential for decision-making.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_1903_11198
institution arXiv
publishDate 2019
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Parallel Experimentation and Competitive Interference on Online Advertising Platforms
Waisman, Caio
Sahni, Navdeep S.
Nair, Harikesh S.
Lin, Xiliang
General Economics
Economics
Applications
This paper studies the measurement of advertising effects on online platforms when parallel experimentation occurs, that is, when multiple advertisers experiment concurrently. It provides a framework that makes precise how parallel experimentation affects the experiment's value: while ignoring parallel experimentation yields an estimate of the average effect of advertising in-place, which has limited value in decision-making in an environment with variable advertising competition, accounting for parallel experimentation captures the actual uncertainty advertisers face due to competitive actions. It then implements an experimental design that enables the estimation of these effects on JD.com, a large e-commerce platform that is also a publisher of digital ads. Using traditional and kernel-based estimators, it shows that not accounting for competitive actions can result in the advertiser inaccurately estimating the advertising lift by a factor of two or higher, which can be consequential for decision-making.
title Parallel Experimentation and Competitive Interference on Online Advertising Platforms
topic General Economics
Economics
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/1903.11198