Dynamically Optimal Treatment Allocation

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Adusumilli, Karun, Geiecke, Friedrich, Schilter, Claudio
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2019
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author Adusumilli, Karun
Geiecke, Friedrich
Schilter, Claudio
author_facet Adusumilli, Karun
Geiecke, Friedrich
Schilter, Claudio
contents Dynamic decisions are pivotal to economic policy making. We show how existing evidence from randomized control trials can be utilized to guide personalized decisions in challenging dynamic environments with budget and capacity constraints. Recent advances in reinforcement learning now enable the solution of many complex, real-world problems for the first time. We allow for restricted classes of policy functions and prove that their regret decays at rate n^(-0.5), the same as in the static case. Applying our methods to job training, we find that by exploiting the problem's dynamic structure, we achieve significantly higher welfare compared to static approaches.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_1904_01047
institution arXiv
publishDate 2019
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Dynamically Optimal Treatment Allocation
Adusumilli, Karun
Geiecke, Friedrich
Schilter, Claudio
Econometrics
Machine Learning
Dynamic decisions are pivotal to economic policy making. We show how existing evidence from randomized control trials can be utilized to guide personalized decisions in challenging dynamic environments with budget and capacity constraints. Recent advances in reinforcement learning now enable the solution of many complex, real-world problems for the first time. We allow for restricted classes of policy functions and prove that their regret decays at rate n^(-0.5), the same as in the static case. Applying our methods to job training, we find that by exploiting the problem's dynamic structure, we achieve significantly higher welfare compared to static approaches.
title Dynamically Optimal Treatment Allocation
topic Econometrics
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/1904.01047