Causal Inference in Genetic Trio Studies

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Bates, Stephen, Sesia, Matteo, Sabatti, Chiara, Candes, Emmanuel
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2020
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author Bates, Stephen
Sesia, Matteo
Sabatti, Chiara
Candes, Emmanuel
author_facet Bates, Stephen
Sesia, Matteo
Sabatti, Chiara
Candes, Emmanuel
contents We introduce a method to rigorously draw causal inferences---inferences immune to all possible confounding---from genetic data that include parents and offspring. Causal conclusions are possible with these data because the natural randomness in meiosis can be viewed as a high-dimensional randomized experiment. We make this observation actionable by developing a novel conditional independence test that identifies regions of the genome containing distinct causal variants. The proposed Digital Twin Test compares an observed offspring to carefully constructed synthetic offspring from the same parents in order to determine statistical significance, and it can leverage any black-box multivariate model and additional non-trio genetic data in order to increase power. Crucially, our inferences are based only on a well-established mathematical description of the rearrangement of genetic material during meiosis and make no assumptions about the relationship between the genotypes and phenotypes.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2002_09644
institution arXiv
publishDate 2020
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Causal Inference in Genetic Trio Studies
Bates, Stephen
Sesia, Matteo
Sabatti, Chiara
Candes, Emmanuel
Methodology
Applications
We introduce a method to rigorously draw causal inferences---inferences immune to all possible confounding---from genetic data that include parents and offspring. Causal conclusions are possible with these data because the natural randomness in meiosis can be viewed as a high-dimensional randomized experiment. We make this observation actionable by developing a novel conditional independence test that identifies regions of the genome containing distinct causal variants. The proposed Digital Twin Test compares an observed offspring to carefully constructed synthetic offspring from the same parents in order to determine statistical significance, and it can leverage any black-box multivariate model and additional non-trio genetic data in order to increase power. Crucially, our inferences are based only on a well-established mathematical description of the rearrangement of genetic material during meiosis and make no assumptions about the relationship between the genotypes and phenotypes.
title Causal Inference in Genetic Trio Studies
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.09644