Conformal Prediction: a Unified Review of Theory and New Challenges

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Fontana, Matteo, Zeni, Gianluca, Vantini, Simone
Format: Preprint
Published: 2020
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author Fontana, Matteo
Zeni, Gianluca
Vantini, Simone
author_facet Fontana, Matteo
Zeni, Gianluca
Vantini, Simone
contents In this work we provide a review of basic ideas and novel developments about Conformal Prediction -- an innovative distribution-free, non-parametric forecasting method, based on minimal assumptions -- that is able to yield in a very straightforward way predictions sets that are valid in a statistical sense also in in the finite sample case. The in-depth discussion provided in the paper covers the theoretical underpinnings of Conformal Prediction, and then proceeds to list the more advanced developments and adaptations of the original idea.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2005_07972
institution arXiv
publishDate 2020
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Conformal Prediction: a Unified Review of Theory and New Challenges
Fontana, Matteo
Zeni, Gianluca
Vantini, Simone
Machine Learning
Econometrics
Methodology
In this work we provide a review of basic ideas and novel developments about Conformal Prediction -- an innovative distribution-free, non-parametric forecasting method, based on minimal assumptions -- that is able to yield in a very straightforward way predictions sets that are valid in a statistical sense also in in the finite sample case. The in-depth discussion provided in the paper covers the theoretical underpinnings of Conformal Prediction, and then proceeds to list the more advanced developments and adaptations of the original idea.
title Conformal Prediction: a Unified Review of Theory and New Challenges
topic Machine Learning
Econometrics
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.07972