Decision Conflict, Power Logit, and the Deferral Outside Option

Fuente: arXiv
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Autore principale: Gerasimou, Georgios
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2020
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author Gerasimou, Georgios
author_facet Gerasimou, Georgios
contents Decision makers often opt for the deferral outside option when they find it difficult to make an active choice. Contrary to existing logit models with an outside option where the latter is assigned a fixed value exogenously, this paper introduces and studies a class of logit models where that option's value is menu-dependent, may be determined endogenously, and could be interpreted as proxying the varying degree of decision difficulty at different menus. We focus on the *power logit* special class of these models. We show that these explain some observed choice-deferral effects that are caused by hard decisions, including non-monotonic "roller-coaster" choice-overload phenomena that are regulated by the presence or absence of a clearly dominant feasible alternative. We illustrate the usability, novel insights and explanatory gains of the proposed framework for duopolistic modelling and empirical discrete choice analysis.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2008_04229
institution arXiv
publishDate 2020
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Decision Conflict, Power Logit, and the Deferral Outside Option
Gerasimou, Georgios
Theoretical Economics
Econometrics
Decision makers often opt for the deferral outside option when they find it difficult to make an active choice. Contrary to existing logit models with an outside option where the latter is assigned a fixed value exogenously, this paper introduces and studies a class of logit models where that option's value is menu-dependent, may be determined endogenously, and could be interpreted as proxying the varying degree of decision difficulty at different menus. We focus on the *power logit* special class of these models. We show that these explain some observed choice-deferral effects that are caused by hard decisions, including non-monotonic "roller-coaster" choice-overload phenomena that are regulated by the presence or absence of a clearly dominant feasible alternative. We illustrate the usability, novel insights and explanatory gains of the proposed framework for duopolistic modelling and empirical discrete choice analysis.
title Decision Conflict, Power Logit, and the Deferral Outside Option
topic Theoretical Economics
Econometrics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2008.04229