Modeling the impact of birth control policies on China's population and age: effects of delayed births and minimum birth age constraints

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Wang, Yue, Dessalles, Renaud, Chou, Tom
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2020
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author Wang, Yue
Dessalles, Renaud
Chou, Tom
author_facet Wang, Yue
Dessalles, Renaud
Chou, Tom
contents We consider age-structured models with an imposed refractory period between births. These models can be used to formulate alternative population control strategies to China's one-child policy. By allowing any number of births, but with an imposed delay between births, we show how the total population can be decreased and how a relatively older age distribution can be generated. This delay represents a more "continuous" form of population management for which the strict one-child policy is a limiting case. Such a policy approach could be more easily accepted by society. Our analyses provide an initial framework for studying demographics and how social constraints influence population structure.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2009_00228
institution arXiv
publishDate 2020
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Modeling the impact of birth control policies on China's population and age: effects of delayed births and minimum birth age constraints
Wang, Yue
Dessalles, Renaud
Chou, Tom
Populations and Evolution
We consider age-structured models with an imposed refractory period between births. These models can be used to formulate alternative population control strategies to China's one-child policy. By allowing any number of births, but with an imposed delay between births, we show how the total population can be decreased and how a relatively older age distribution can be generated. This delay represents a more "continuous" form of population management for which the strict one-child policy is a limiting case. Such a policy approach could be more easily accepted by society. Our analyses provide an initial framework for studying demographics and how social constraints influence population structure.
title Modeling the impact of birth control policies on China's population and age: effects of delayed births and minimum birth age constraints
topic Populations and Evolution
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.00228