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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Egami, Masahiko, Kevkhishvili, Rusudan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2020
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.00868
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author Egami, Masahiko
Kevkhishvili, Rusudan
author_facet Egami, Masahiko
Kevkhishvili, Rusudan
contents This study proposes a stochastic model for loss-given-default (LGD) which provides the LGD distribution based on credit market and company-specific financial conditions. The model utilizes last passage time of a linear diffusion (representing firm value) to a certain threshold point, after which default occurs as a surprising event. By treating the post-last passage time process in a continuum of the original process, we are able to use firm-value approach before and intensity-based approach after the last passage time, leading to a hybrid model. Under minimal and standard assumptions, we obtain the distributions of default time and LGD explicitly. We provide a computationally simple estimation procedure and real-world examples of estimated LGD distribution implied in CDS market.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2009_00868
institution arXiv
publishDate 2020
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Loss-Given-Default Modeling by Post-Last Passage Time Process
Egami, Masahiko
Kevkhishvili, Rusudan
Risk Management
60J60, 60J70
This study proposes a stochastic model for loss-given-default (LGD) which provides the LGD distribution based on credit market and company-specific financial conditions. The model utilizes last passage time of a linear diffusion (representing firm value) to a certain threshold point, after which default occurs as a surprising event. By treating the post-last passage time process in a continuum of the original process, we are able to use firm-value approach before and intensity-based approach after the last passage time, leading to a hybrid model. Under minimal and standard assumptions, we obtain the distributions of default time and LGD explicitly. We provide a computationally simple estimation procedure and real-world examples of estimated LGD distribution implied in CDS market.
title Loss-Given-Default Modeling by Post-Last Passage Time Process
topic Risk Management
60J60, 60J70
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.00868