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Main Authors: Stoepker, Ivo V., Castro, Rui M., Arias-Castro, Ery, Heuvel, Edwin van den
Format: Preprint
Published: 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.03117
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author Stoepker, Ivo V.
Castro, Rui M.
Arias-Castro, Ery
Heuvel, Edwin van den
author_facet Stoepker, Ivo V.
Castro, Rui M.
Arias-Castro, Ery
Heuvel, Edwin van den
contents Anomaly detection when observing a large number of data streams is essential in a variety of applications, ranging from epidemiological studies to monitoring of complex systems. High-dimensional scenarios are usually tackled with scan-statistics and related methods, requiring stringent modeling assumptions for proper calibration. In this work we take a non-parametric stance, and propose a permutation-based variant of the higher criticism statistic not requiring knowledge of the null distribution. This results in an exact test in finite samples which is asymptotically optimal in the wide class of exponential models. We demonstrate the power loss in finite samples is minimal with respect to the oracle test. Furthermore, since the proposed statistic does not rely on asymptotic approximations it typically performs better than popular variants of higher criticism that rely on such approximations. We include recommendations such that the test can be readily applied in practice, and demonstrate its applicability in monitoring the content uniformity of an active ingredient for a batch-produced drug product.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2009_03117
institution arXiv
publishDate 2020
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Anomaly Detection for a Large Number of Streams: A Permutation-Based Higher Criticism Approach
Stoepker, Ivo V.
Castro, Rui M.
Arias-Castro, Ery
Heuvel, Edwin van den
Methodology
Statistics Theory
Anomaly detection when observing a large number of data streams is essential in a variety of applications, ranging from epidemiological studies to monitoring of complex systems. High-dimensional scenarios are usually tackled with scan-statistics and related methods, requiring stringent modeling assumptions for proper calibration. In this work we take a non-parametric stance, and propose a permutation-based variant of the higher criticism statistic not requiring knowledge of the null distribution. This results in an exact test in finite samples which is asymptotically optimal in the wide class of exponential models. We demonstrate the power loss in finite samples is minimal with respect to the oracle test. Furthermore, since the proposed statistic does not rely on asymptotic approximations it typically performs better than popular variants of higher criticism that rely on such approximations. We include recommendations such that the test can be readily applied in practice, and demonstrate its applicability in monitoring the content uniformity of an active ingredient for a batch-produced drug product.
title Anomaly Detection for a Large Number of Streams: A Permutation-Based Higher Criticism Approach
topic Methodology
Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.03117