Physics Guided Machine Learning Methods for Hydrology

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Khandelwal, Ankush, Xu, Shaoming, Li, Xiang, Jia, Xiaowei, Stienbach, Michael, Duffy, Christopher, Nieber, John, Kumar, Vipin
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2020
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author Khandelwal, Ankush
Xu, Shaoming
Li, Xiang
Jia, Xiaowei
Stienbach, Michael
Duffy, Christopher
Nieber, John
Kumar, Vipin
author_facet Khandelwal, Ankush
Xu, Shaoming
Li, Xiang
Jia, Xiaowei
Stienbach, Michael
Duffy, Christopher
Nieber, John
Kumar, Vipin
contents Streamflow prediction is one of the key challenges in the field of hydrology due to the complex interplay between multiple non-linear physical mechanisms behind streamflow generation. While physics based models are rooted in rich understanding of the physical processes, a significant performance gap still remains which can be potentially addressed by leveraging the recent advances in machine learning. The goal of this work is to incorporate our understanding of hydrological processes and constraints into machine learning algorithms to improve the predictive performance. Traditional ML models for this problem predict streamflow using weather drivers as input. However there are multiple intermediate processes that interact to generate streamflow from weather drivers. The key idea of the approach is to explicitly model these intermediate processes that connect weather drivers to streamflow using a multi-task learning framework. While our proposed approach requires data about intermediate processes during training, only weather drivers will be needed to predict the streamflow during testing phase. We assess the efficacy of the approach on a simulation dataset generated by the SWAT model for a catchment located in the South Branch of the Root River Watershed in southeast Minnesota. While the focus of this paper is on improving the performance given data from a single catchment, methodology presented here is applicable to ML-based approaches that use data from multiple catchments to improve performance of each individual catchment.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2012_02854
institution arXiv
publishDate 2020
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Physics Guided Machine Learning Methods for Hydrology
Khandelwal, Ankush
Xu, Shaoming
Li, Xiang
Jia, Xiaowei
Stienbach, Michael
Duffy, Christopher
Nieber, John
Kumar, Vipin
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Machine Learning
Streamflow prediction is one of the key challenges in the field of hydrology due to the complex interplay between multiple non-linear physical mechanisms behind streamflow generation. While physics based models are rooted in rich understanding of the physical processes, a significant performance gap still remains which can be potentially addressed by leveraging the recent advances in machine learning. The goal of this work is to incorporate our understanding of hydrological processes and constraints into machine learning algorithms to improve the predictive performance. Traditional ML models for this problem predict streamflow using weather drivers as input. However there are multiple intermediate processes that interact to generate streamflow from weather drivers. The key idea of the approach is to explicitly model these intermediate processes that connect weather drivers to streamflow using a multi-task learning framework. While our proposed approach requires data about intermediate processes during training, only weather drivers will be needed to predict the streamflow during testing phase. We assess the efficacy of the approach on a simulation dataset generated by the SWAT model for a catchment located in the South Branch of the Root River Watershed in southeast Minnesota. While the focus of this paper is on improving the performance given data from a single catchment, methodology presented here is applicable to ML-based approaches that use data from multiple catchments to improve performance of each individual catchment.
title Physics Guided Machine Learning Methods for Hydrology
topic Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2012.02854