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| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2021
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://arxiv.org/abs/2101.06944 |
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Table of Contents:
- In this work, we attempt to refine the classic asymptotic formulae to describe the probability distribution of likelihood-ratio statistical tests. The idea is to split the probability distribution function into two parts. One part is universal and described by the asymptotic formulae. The other part is case-dependent and is estimated explicitly using a 6-bin model proposed in this work. The latter is similar to performing toy simulations and can therefore predict the discrete structures in the probability distributions. The new asymptotic formulae provide a much better differential description of the test statistics. This improved performance is demonstrated in two toy examples for common likelihood ratio statistics.