Meta-analysis of Censored Adverse Events

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Qi, Xinyue, Zhou, Shouhao, Peterson, Christine B., Wang, Yucai, Fang, Xinying, Wang, Michael L., Shen, Chan
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2021
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author Qi, Xinyue
Zhou, Shouhao
Peterson, Christine B.
Wang, Yucai
Fang, Xinying
Wang, Michael L.
Shen, Chan
author_facet Qi, Xinyue
Zhou, Shouhao
Peterson, Christine B.
Wang, Yucai
Fang, Xinying
Wang, Michael L.
Shen, Chan
contents Meta-analysis is a powerful tool for assessing drug safety by combining treatment-related toxicological findings across multiple studies, as clinical trials are typically underpowered for detecting adverse drug effects. However, incomplete reporting of adverse events (AEs) in published clinical studies is a frequent issue, especially if the observed number of AEs is below a pre-specified study-dependent threshold. Ignoring the censored AE information, often found in lower frequency, can significantly bias the estimated incidence rate of AEs. Despite its importance, this common meta-analysis problem has received little statistical or analytic attention in the literature. To address this challenge, we propose a Bayesian approach to accommodating the censored and possibly rare AEs for meta-analysis of safety data. Through simulation studies, we demonstrate that the proposed method can improves accuracy in point and interval estimation of incidence probabilities, particularly in the presence of censored data. Overall, the proposed method provides a practical solution that can facilitate better-informed decisions regarding drug safety.
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id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2101_07934
institution arXiv
publishDate 2021
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Meta-analysis of Censored Adverse Events
Qi, Xinyue
Zhou, Shouhao
Peterson, Christine B.
Wang, Yucai
Fang, Xinying
Wang, Michael L.
Shen, Chan
Methodology
Applications
Meta-analysis is a powerful tool for assessing drug safety by combining treatment-related toxicological findings across multiple studies, as clinical trials are typically underpowered for detecting adverse drug effects. However, incomplete reporting of adverse events (AEs) in published clinical studies is a frequent issue, especially if the observed number of AEs is below a pre-specified study-dependent threshold. Ignoring the censored AE information, often found in lower frequency, can significantly bias the estimated incidence rate of AEs. Despite its importance, this common meta-analysis problem has received little statistical or analytic attention in the literature. To address this challenge, we propose a Bayesian approach to accommodating the censored and possibly rare AEs for meta-analysis of safety data. Through simulation studies, we demonstrate that the proposed method can improves accuracy in point and interval estimation of incidence probabilities, particularly in the presence of censored data. Overall, the proposed method provides a practical solution that can facilitate better-informed decisions regarding drug safety.
title Meta-analysis of Censored Adverse Events
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2101.07934