Fourier Series-Based Approximation of Time-Varying Parameters in Ordinary Differential Equations

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Fitzpatrick, Anna, Folino, Molly, Arnold, Andrea
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2021
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author Fitzpatrick, Anna
Folino, Molly
Arnold, Andrea
author_facet Fitzpatrick, Anna
Folino, Molly
Arnold, Andrea
contents Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some unobservable system parameters may vary with time without known evolution models. In this work, we propose a novel approximation method inspired by the Fourier series to estimate time-varying parameters in deterministic dynamical systems modeled with ordinary differential equations. Using ensemble Kalman filtering in conjunction with Fourier series-based approximation models, we detail two possible implementation schemes for sequentially updating the time-varying parameter estimates given noisy observations of the system states. We demonstrate the capabilities of the proposed approach in estimating periodic parameters, both when the period is known and unknown, as well as non-periodic time-varying parameters of different forms with several computed examples using a forced harmonic oscillator. Results emphasize the importance of the frequencies and number of approximation model terms on the time-varying parameter estimates and corresponding dynamical system predictions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2101_08872
institution arXiv
publishDate 2021
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Fourier Series-Based Approximation of Time-Varying Parameters in Ordinary Differential Equations
Fitzpatrick, Anna
Folino, Molly
Arnold, Andrea
Dynamical Systems
Applications
Computation
Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some unobservable system parameters may vary with time without known evolution models. In this work, we propose a novel approximation method inspired by the Fourier series to estimate time-varying parameters in deterministic dynamical systems modeled with ordinary differential equations. Using ensemble Kalman filtering in conjunction with Fourier series-based approximation models, we detail two possible implementation schemes for sequentially updating the time-varying parameter estimates given noisy observations of the system states. We demonstrate the capabilities of the proposed approach in estimating periodic parameters, both when the period is known and unknown, as well as non-periodic time-varying parameters of different forms with several computed examples using a forced harmonic oscillator. Results emphasize the importance of the frequencies and number of approximation model terms on the time-varying parameter estimates and corresponding dynamical system predictions.
title Fourier Series-Based Approximation of Time-Varying Parameters in Ordinary Differential Equations
topic Dynamical Systems
Applications
Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2101.08872