What Do We Get from Two-Way Fixed Effects Regressions? Implications from Numerical Equivalence

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1. Verfasser: Ishimaru, Shoya
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2021
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author Ishimaru, Shoya
author_facet Ishimaru, Shoya
contents This paper develops numerical and causal interpretations of two-way fixed effects (TWFE) regressions in settings with nonbinary, nonstaggered treatments and time-varying covariates. Using the equivalence between TWFE and pooled first-difference regressions, I express the TWFE coefficient as a weighted average of first-difference coefficients across all horizons, clarifying how short- and long-run changes contribute to the estimate. Causal interpretation relies on common-trends assumptions across all horizons and conditioning on covariate changes rather than levels. I propose diagnostic procedures to assess these assumptions across horizons and illustrate them by reexamining TWFE estimates of minimum-wage effects on employment.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2103_12374
institution arXiv
publishDate 2021
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle What Do We Get from Two-Way Fixed Effects Regressions? Implications from Numerical Equivalence
Ishimaru, Shoya
Econometrics
This paper develops numerical and causal interpretations of two-way fixed effects (TWFE) regressions in settings with nonbinary, nonstaggered treatments and time-varying covariates. Using the equivalence between TWFE and pooled first-difference regressions, I express the TWFE coefficient as a weighted average of first-difference coefficients across all horizons, clarifying how short- and long-run changes contribute to the estimate. Causal interpretation relies on common-trends assumptions across all horizons and conditioning on covariate changes rather than levels. I propose diagnostic procedures to assess these assumptions across horizons and illustrate them by reexamining TWFE estimates of minimum-wage effects on employment.
title What Do We Get from Two-Way Fixed Effects Regressions? Implications from Numerical Equivalence
topic Econometrics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.12374