On the all-India rainfall index and sub-India rainfall heterogeneity

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Hauptverfasser: Hill, Spencer A, Sobel, Adam H, Biasutti, Michela, Cane, Mark A
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2021
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author Hill, Spencer A
Sobel, Adam H
Biasutti, Michela
Cane, Mark A
author_facet Hill, Spencer A
Sobel, Adam H
Biasutti, Michela
Cane, Mark A
contents We revisit long-standing controversies regarding relationships among the all-India rainfall index (AIRI), sub-India summer rainfall variations, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) using 120-year sea surface temperature and high-resolution rainfall datasets. AIRI closely tracks with the spatial extent of wet anomalies and with the average across gridpoints in rainy day count. The leading rainfall variability mode is a monopole associated primarily with rainy day count and ENSO. The second mode is a tripole with same-signed loadings in the high-rainfall Western Ghats and Central Monsoon Zone regions and opposite-signed loadings in Southeastern India between. The IOD projects onto this tripole and, as such, is weakly correlated with AIRI. However, when the linear influence of ENSO is removed, the IOD rainfall regressions become quasi-homogeneously more positive, making the ENSO-residual IOD and AIRI timeseries significantly correlated.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2104_12306
institution arXiv
publishDate 2021
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle On the all-India rainfall index and sub-India rainfall heterogeneity
Hill, Spencer A
Sobel, Adam H
Biasutti, Michela
Cane, Mark A
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
We revisit long-standing controversies regarding relationships among the all-India rainfall index (AIRI), sub-India summer rainfall variations, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) using 120-year sea surface temperature and high-resolution rainfall datasets. AIRI closely tracks with the spatial extent of wet anomalies and with the average across gridpoints in rainy day count. The leading rainfall variability mode is a monopole associated primarily with rainy day count and ENSO. The second mode is a tripole with same-signed loadings in the high-rainfall Western Ghats and Central Monsoon Zone regions and opposite-signed loadings in Southeastern India between. The IOD projects onto this tripole and, as such, is weakly correlated with AIRI. However, when the linear influence of ENSO is removed, the IOD rainfall regressions become quasi-homogeneously more positive, making the ENSO-residual IOD and AIRI timeseries significantly correlated.
title On the all-India rainfall index and sub-India rainfall heterogeneity
topic Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2104.12306