Bayesian iterative screening in ultra-high dimensional linear regressions

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Wang, Run, Dutta, Somak, Roy, Vivekananda
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2021
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author Wang, Run
Dutta, Somak
Roy, Vivekananda
author_facet Wang, Run
Dutta, Somak
Roy, Vivekananda
contents Variable selection in ultra-high dimensional linear regression is often preceded by a screening step to significantly reduce the dimension. Here we develop a Bayesian variable screening method (BITS) guided by the posterior model probabilities. BITS can successfully integrate prior knowledge, if any, on effect sizes, and the number of true variables. BITS iteratively includes potential variables with the highest posterior probability accounting for the already selected variables. It is implemented by a fast Cholesky update algorithm and is shown to have the screening consistency property. BITS is built based on a model with Gaussian errors, yet, the screening consistency is proved to hold under more general tail conditions. The notion of posterior screening consistency allows the resulting model to provide a good starting point for further Bayesian variable selection methods. A new screening consistent stopping rule based on posterior probability is developed. Simulation studies and real data examples are used to demonstrate scalability and fine screening performance.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2107_10175
institution arXiv
publishDate 2021
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian iterative screening in ultra-high dimensional linear regressions
Wang, Run
Dutta, Somak
Roy, Vivekananda
Methodology
Variable selection in ultra-high dimensional linear regression is often preceded by a screening step to significantly reduce the dimension. Here we develop a Bayesian variable screening method (BITS) guided by the posterior model probabilities. BITS can successfully integrate prior knowledge, if any, on effect sizes, and the number of true variables. BITS iteratively includes potential variables with the highest posterior probability accounting for the already selected variables. It is implemented by a fast Cholesky update algorithm and is shown to have the screening consistency property. BITS is built based on a model with Gaussian errors, yet, the screening consistency is proved to hold under more general tail conditions. The notion of posterior screening consistency allows the resulting model to provide a good starting point for further Bayesian variable selection methods. A new screening consistent stopping rule based on posterior probability is developed. Simulation studies and real data examples are used to demonstrate scalability and fine screening performance.
title Bayesian iterative screening in ultra-high dimensional linear regressions
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.10175