Overinference from Weak Signals and Underinference from Strong Signals
Fuente:
arXiv
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | Augenblick, Ned, Lazarus, Eben, Thaler, Michael |
|---|---|
| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2021
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
Similar Items
Good News Is Not a Sufficient Condition for Motivated Reasoning
by: Thaler, Michael
Published: (2020)
by: Thaler, Michael
Published: (2020)
Costly Signalling in DAOs
by: Allen, Darcy W. E., et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Allen, Darcy W. E., et al.
Published: (2024)
Signaling in the Age of AI: Evidence from Cover Letters
by: Cui, Jingyi, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Cui, Jingyi, et al.
Published: (2025)
Cursed Job Market Signaling
by: Lin, Po-Hsuan, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Lin, Po-Hsuan, et al.
Published: (2025)
AI Alignment Amplifies the Role of Race, Gender, and Disability in Hiring Decisions
by: Wang, Ze, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Wang, Ze, et al.
Published: (2026)
Making Talk Cheap: Generative AI and Labor Market Signaling
by: Galdin, Anais, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Galdin, Anais, et al.
Published: (2025)
Antecedents of Consumer Regret Frequency: The Roles of Decision Agency, Status Signaling, and Online Shopping Preference
by: Berry, Shawn
Published: (2025)
by: Berry, Shawn
Published: (2025)
How Wasteful is Signaling?
by: Frankel, Alex, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Frankel, Alex, et al.
Published: (2026)
"The Strength of Weak Ties" Varies Across Viral Channels
by: Huang, Shan, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Huang, Shan, et al.
Published: (2024)
Bridging Expectation Signals: LLM-Based Experiments and a Behavioral Kalman Filter Framework
by: Wang, Yu, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Wang, Yu, et al.
Published: (2026)
Signal or Noise? Evaluating Large Language Models in Resume Screening Across Contextual Variations and Human Expert Benchmarks
by: Varshney, Aryan, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Varshney, Aryan, et al.
Published: (2025)
Revealing risk preferences Evidence from Turkeys 2023 Earthquake
by: Quiroga, Emily, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Quiroga, Emily, et al.
Published: (2024)
Digital technologies and performance incentives: Evidence from businesses in the Swiss economy
by: Lehmann, Johannes, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Lehmann, Johannes, et al.
Published: (2024)
The Signal Credibility Index for Prediction Markets: A Microstructure-Grounded Diagnostic with Weighted and Time-Varying Extensions
by: Nechepurenko, Maksym
Published: (2026)
by: Nechepurenko, Maksym
Published: (2026)
Pollution and Mortality: Evidence from early 20th Century Sweden
by: Haylock, Michael, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Haylock, Michael, et al.
Published: (2024)
The Household Impact of Generative AI: Evidence from Internet Browsing Behavior
by: Blank, Michael, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Blank, Michael, et al.
Published: (2026)
Organizational culture and the usage of Industry 4.0 technologies: evidence from Swiss businesses
by: Wiese, Simon Alexander, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Wiese, Simon Alexander, et al.
Published: (2024)
Different Forms of Imbalance in Strongly Playable Discrete Games I: Two-Player RPS Games
by: Maimon, Itai
Published: (2025)
by: Maimon, Itai
Published: (2025)
Probabilistic Forecasting of Real-Time Electricity Market Signals via Interpretable Generative AI
by: Wang, Xinyi, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Wang, Xinyi, et al.
Published: (2024)
Beyond Leaders and Laggards: A Typology of Renewable Energy Adoption Trajectories with Evidence from Off-Grid Communities
by: Blushtein-Livnon, Roni, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Blushtein-Livnon, Roni, et al.
Published: (2025)
A Run on Fossil Fuel? Climate Change and Transition Risk
by: Barnett, Michael
Published: (2024)
by: Barnett, Michael
Published: (2024)
On the marginal utility of fiat money: insurmountable circularity or not?
by: Reiss, Michael
Published: (2021)
by: Reiss, Michael
Published: (2021)
Judgment in macroeconomic output growth predictions: Efficiency, accuracy and persistence
by: Pedersen, Michael
Published: (2024)
by: Pedersen, Michael
Published: (2024)
Convergence to collusion in algorithmic pricing
by: Frick, Kevin Michael
Published: (2026)
by: Frick, Kevin Michael
Published: (2026)
Factor-Biased Efficiency Gains from Exporting: Evidence from Colombia
by: Hong, Joonkyo, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Hong, Joonkyo, et al.
Published: (2024)
Can Digital Aid Deliver During Humanitarian Crises?
by: Callen, Michael, et al.
Published: (2023)
by: Callen, Michael, et al.
Published: (2023)
How firms, bureaucrats, and ministries benefit from the revolving door: Evidence from Japan
by: Incerti, Trevor
Published: (2025)
by: Incerti, Trevor
Published: (2025)
The Economics of Coal Phaseouts: Auctions as a Novel Policy Instrument for the Energy Transition
by: Srivastav, Sugandha, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Srivastav, Sugandha, et al.
Published: (2024)
Teamwork and Spillover Effects in Performance Evaluations
by: Brox, Enzo, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Brox, Enzo, et al.
Published: (2024)
The Impact of Phosphate Fertilizer Industry Consolidation on Future Phosphorus Supply for World Agriculture
by: Shchiptsova, Anna, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Shchiptsova, Anna, et al.
Published: (2025)
Digital Transformation in Switzerland: The Current State and Expectations
by: Lehmann, Johannes, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Lehmann, Johannes, et al.
Published: (2024)
Prestige in Numbers: How Test Scores and Choices Reveal School Rankings
by: Echenique, Federico, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Echenique, Federico, et al.
Published: (2025)
Valuing Diffuse Global Public Goods from Satellite Constellations: Evidence from GPS and Airline Delays
by: Ricanati, Lev
Published: (2025)
by: Ricanati, Lev
Published: (2025)
Different Forms of Imbalance in Strongly Playable Discrete Games II: Multi-Player RPS Games
by: Maimon, Itai
Published: (2025)
by: Maimon, Itai
Published: (2025)
Retractions: Updating from Complex Information
by: Gonçalves, Duarte, et al.
Published: (2021)
by: Gonçalves, Duarte, et al.
Published: (2021)
Estimating Spillovers from Sampled Connections
by: Marray, Kieran
Published: (2024)
by: Marray, Kieran
Published: (2024)
Measuring Corruption from Text Data
by: Muço, Arieda
Published: (2025)
by: Muço, Arieda
Published: (2025)
Trade and pollution: Evidence from India
by: Niemi, Malin, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Niemi, Malin, et al.
Published: (2025)
What are Asset Price Bubbles? A Survey on Definitions of Financial Bubbles
by: Baumann, Michael Heinrich, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Baumann, Michael Heinrich, et al.
Published: (2025)
Estimating Government Worker Skills
by: Frick, Kevin Michael, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Frick, Kevin Michael, et al.
Published: (2026)
Similar Items
-
Good News Is Not a Sufficient Condition for Motivated Reasoning
by: Thaler, Michael
Published: (2020) -
Costly Signalling in DAOs
by: Allen, Darcy W. E., et al.
Published: (2024) -
Signaling in the Age of AI: Evidence from Cover Letters
by: Cui, Jingyi, et al.
Published: (2025) -
Cursed Job Market Signaling
by: Lin, Po-Hsuan, et al.
Published: (2025) -
AI Alignment Amplifies the Role of Race, Gender, and Disability in Hiring Decisions
by: Wang, Ze, et al.
Published: (2026)