A causal fused lasso for interpretable heterogeneous treatment effects estimation

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Padilla, Oscar Hernan Madrid, Chen, Yanzhen, Padilla, Carlos Misael Madrid, Ruiz, Gabriel
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2021
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author Padilla, Oscar Hernan Madrid
Chen, Yanzhen
Padilla, Carlos Misael Madrid
Ruiz, Gabriel
author_facet Padilla, Oscar Hernan Madrid
Chen, Yanzhen
Padilla, Carlos Misael Madrid
Ruiz, Gabriel
contents We propose a novel method for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects based on the fused lasso. By first ordering samples based on the propensity or prognostic score, we match units from the treatment and control groups. We then run the fused lasso to obtain piecewise constant treatment effects with respect to the ordering defined by the score. Similar to the existing methods based on discretizing the score, our methods yield interpretable subgroup effects. However, existing methods fixed the subgroup a priori, but our causal fused lasso forms data-adaptive subgroups. We show that the estimator consistently estimates the treatment effects conditional on the score under very general conditions on the covariates and treatment. We demonstrate the performance of our procedure using extensive experiments that show that it can be interpretable and competitive with state-of-the-art methods.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2110_00901
institution arXiv
publishDate 2021
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A causal fused lasso for interpretable heterogeneous treatment effects estimation
Padilla, Oscar Hernan Madrid
Chen, Yanzhen
Padilla, Carlos Misael Madrid
Ruiz, Gabriel
Methodology
We propose a novel method for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects based on the fused lasso. By first ordering samples based on the propensity or prognostic score, we match units from the treatment and control groups. We then run the fused lasso to obtain piecewise constant treatment effects with respect to the ordering defined by the score. Similar to the existing methods based on discretizing the score, our methods yield interpretable subgroup effects. However, existing methods fixed the subgroup a priori, but our causal fused lasso forms data-adaptive subgroups. We show that the estimator consistently estimates the treatment effects conditional on the score under very general conditions on the covariates and treatment. We demonstrate the performance of our procedure using extensive experiments that show that it can be interpretable and competitive with state-of-the-art methods.
title A causal fused lasso for interpretable heterogeneous treatment effects estimation
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2110.00901