Bayesian Model Calibration and Sensitivity Analysis for Oscillating Biological Experiments

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Hwang, Youngdeok, Kim, Hang J., Chang, Won, Hong, Christian, MacEachern, Steven N.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2021
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_version_ 1866913610808164352
author Hwang, Youngdeok
Kim, Hang J.
Chang, Won
Hong, Christian
MacEachern, Steven N.
author_facet Hwang, Youngdeok
Kim, Hang J.
Chang, Won
Hong, Christian
MacEachern, Steven N.
contents Understanding the oscillating behaviors that govern organisms' internal biological processes requires interdisciplinary efforts combining both biological and computer experiments, as the latter can complement the former by simulating perturbed conditions with higher resolution. Harmonizing the two types of experiment, however, poses significant statistical challenges due to identifiability issues, numerical instability, and ill behavior in high dimension. This article devises a new Bayesian calibration framework for oscillating biochemical models. The proposed Bayesian model is estimated relying on an advanced Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique which can efficiently infer the parameter values that match the simulated and observed oscillatory processes. Also proposed is an approach to sensitivity analysis based on the intervention posterior. This approach measures the influence of individual parameters on the target process by using the obtained MCMC samples as a computational tool. The proposed framework is illustrated with circadian oscillations observed in a filamentous fungus, Neurospora crassa.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2110_10604
institution arXiv
publishDate 2021
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian Model Calibration and Sensitivity Analysis for Oscillating Biological Experiments
Hwang, Youngdeok
Kim, Hang J.
Chang, Won
Hong, Christian
MacEachern, Steven N.
Applications
62P10 (Primary), 62-08 (Secondary)
Understanding the oscillating behaviors that govern organisms' internal biological processes requires interdisciplinary efforts combining both biological and computer experiments, as the latter can complement the former by simulating perturbed conditions with higher resolution. Harmonizing the two types of experiment, however, poses significant statistical challenges due to identifiability issues, numerical instability, and ill behavior in high dimension. This article devises a new Bayesian calibration framework for oscillating biochemical models. The proposed Bayesian model is estimated relying on an advanced Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique which can efficiently infer the parameter values that match the simulated and observed oscillatory processes. Also proposed is an approach to sensitivity analysis based on the intervention posterior. This approach measures the influence of individual parameters on the target process by using the obtained MCMC samples as a computational tool. The proposed framework is illustrated with circadian oscillations observed in a filamentous fungus, Neurospora crassa.
title Bayesian Model Calibration and Sensitivity Analysis for Oscillating Biological Experiments
topic Applications
62P10 (Primary), 62-08 (Secondary)
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2110.10604