Robust Permutation Tests in Linear Instrumental Variables Regression

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Author: Tuvaandorj, Purevdorj
Format: Preprint
Published: 2021
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author Tuvaandorj, Purevdorj
author_facet Tuvaandorj, Purevdorj
contents This paper develops permutation versions of identification-robust tests in linear instrumental variables (IV) regression. Unlike the existing randomization and rank-based tests in which independence between the instruments and the error terms is assumed, the permutation Anderson- Rubin (AR), Lagrange Multiplier (LM) and Conditional Likelihood Ratio (CLR) tests are asymptotically similar and robust to conditional heteroskedasticity under standard exclusion restriction i.e. the orthogonality between the instruments and the error terms. Moreover, when the instruments are independent of the structural error term, the permutation AR tests are exact, hence robust to heavy tails. As such, these tests share the strengths of the rank-based tests and the wild bootstrap AR tests. Numerical illustrations corroborate the theoretical results.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2111_13774
institution arXiv
publishDate 2021
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Robust Permutation Tests in Linear Instrumental Variables Regression
Tuvaandorj, Purevdorj
Econometrics
This paper develops permutation versions of identification-robust tests in linear instrumental variables (IV) regression. Unlike the existing randomization and rank-based tests in which independence between the instruments and the error terms is assumed, the permutation Anderson- Rubin (AR), Lagrange Multiplier (LM) and Conditional Likelihood Ratio (CLR) tests are asymptotically similar and robust to conditional heteroskedasticity under standard exclusion restriction i.e. the orthogonality between the instruments and the error terms. Moreover, when the instruments are independent of the structural error term, the permutation AR tests are exact, hence robust to heavy tails. As such, these tests share the strengths of the rank-based tests and the wild bootstrap AR tests. Numerical illustrations corroborate the theoretical results.
title Robust Permutation Tests in Linear Instrumental Variables Regression
topic Econometrics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2111.13774