Causal survival analysis under competing risks using longitudinal modified treatment policies

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Díaz, Iván, Hoffman, Katherine L, Hejazi, Nima S.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2022
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author Díaz, Iván
Hoffman, Katherine L
Hejazi, Nima S.
author_facet Díaz, Iván
Hoffman, Katherine L
Hejazi, Nima S.
contents Longitudinal modified treatment policies (LMTP) have been recently developed as a novel method to define and estimate causal parameters that depend on the natural value of treatment. LMTPs represent an important advancement in causal inference for longitudinal studies as they allow the non-parametric definition and estimation of the joint effect of multiple categorical, numerical, or continuous exposures measured at several time points. We extend the LMTP methodology to problems in which the outcome is a time-to-event variable subject to right-censoring and competing risks. We present identification results and non-parametric locally efficient estimators that use flexible data-adaptive regression techniques to alleviate model misspecification bias, while retaining important asymptotic properties such as $\sqrt{n}$-consistency. We present an application to the estimation of the effect of the time-to-intubation on acute kidney injury amongst COVID-19 hospitalized patients, where death by other causes is taken to be the competing event.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2202_03513
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Causal survival analysis under competing risks using longitudinal modified treatment policies
Díaz, Iván
Hoffman, Katherine L
Hejazi, Nima S.
Methodology
Longitudinal modified treatment policies (LMTP) have been recently developed as a novel method to define and estimate causal parameters that depend on the natural value of treatment. LMTPs represent an important advancement in causal inference for longitudinal studies as they allow the non-parametric definition and estimation of the joint effect of multiple categorical, numerical, or continuous exposures measured at several time points. We extend the LMTP methodology to problems in which the outcome is a time-to-event variable subject to right-censoring and competing risks. We present identification results and non-parametric locally efficient estimators that use flexible data-adaptive regression techniques to alleviate model misspecification bias, while retaining important asymptotic properties such as $\sqrt{n}$-consistency. We present an application to the estimation of the effect of the time-to-intubation on acute kidney injury amongst COVID-19 hospitalized patients, where death by other causes is taken to be the competing event.
title Causal survival analysis under competing risks using longitudinal modified treatment policies
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2202.03513