Explainable Predictive Process Monitoring: A User Evaluation

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Rizzi, Williams, Comuzzi, Marco, Di Francescomarino, Chiara, Ghidini, Chiara, Lee, Suhwan, Maggi, Fabrizio Maria, Nolte, Alexander
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2022
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author Rizzi, Williams
Comuzzi, Marco
Di Francescomarino, Chiara
Ghidini, Chiara
Lee, Suhwan
Maggi, Fabrizio Maria
Nolte, Alexander
author_facet Rizzi, Williams
Comuzzi, Marco
Di Francescomarino, Chiara
Ghidini, Chiara
Lee, Suhwan
Maggi, Fabrizio Maria
Nolte, Alexander
contents Explainability is motivated by the lack of transparency of black-box Machine Learning approaches, which do not foster trust and acceptance of Machine Learning algorithms. This also happens in the Predictive Process Monitoring field, where predictions, obtained by applying Machine Learning techniques, need to be explained to users, so as to gain their trust and acceptance. In this work, we carry on a user evaluation on explanation approaches for Predictive Process Monitoring aiming at investigating whether and how the explanations provided (i) are understandable; (ii) are useful in decision making tasks;(iii) can be further improved for process analysts, with different Machine Learning expertise levels. The results of the user evaluation show that, although explanation plots are overall understandable and useful for decision making tasks for Business Process Management users -- with and without experience in Machine Learning -- differences exist in the comprehension and usage of different plots, as well as in the way users with different Machine Learning expertise understand and use them.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2202_07760
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Explainable Predictive Process Monitoring: A User Evaluation
Rizzi, Williams
Comuzzi, Marco
Di Francescomarino, Chiara
Ghidini, Chiara
Lee, Suhwan
Maggi, Fabrizio Maria
Nolte, Alexander
Artificial Intelligence
Explainability is motivated by the lack of transparency of black-box Machine Learning approaches, which do not foster trust and acceptance of Machine Learning algorithms. This also happens in the Predictive Process Monitoring field, where predictions, obtained by applying Machine Learning techniques, need to be explained to users, so as to gain their trust and acceptance. In this work, we carry on a user evaluation on explanation approaches for Predictive Process Monitoring aiming at investigating whether and how the explanations provided (i) are understandable; (ii) are useful in decision making tasks;(iii) can be further improved for process analysts, with different Machine Learning expertise levels. The results of the user evaluation show that, although explanation plots are overall understandable and useful for decision making tasks for Business Process Management users -- with and without experience in Machine Learning -- differences exist in the comprehension and usage of different plots, as well as in the way users with different Machine Learning expertise understand and use them.
title Explainable Predictive Process Monitoring: A User Evaluation
topic Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2202.07760