Automated Detection of Short-term Slow Slip Events in Southwest Japan

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Ma, Yiming, Anastasiou, Andreas, Montiel, Fabien
Format: Preprint
Published: 2022
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author Ma, Yiming
Anastasiou, Andreas
Montiel, Fabien
author_facet Ma, Yiming
Anastasiou, Andreas
Montiel, Fabien
contents Inferring from the occurrence pattern of slow slip events (SSEs) the probability of triggering a damaging earthquake within the nearby velocity weakening portion of the plate interface is critical for hazard mitigation. Although robust methods exist to detect long-term SSEs consistently and efficiently, detecting short-term SSEs remains a challenge. In this study, we propose a novel statistical approach, called singular spectrum analysis isolate-detect (SSAID), for automatically estimating the start and end times of short-term SSEs in GPS data. The method recasts the problem of detecting SSEs as that of identifying change-points in a piecewise non-linear signal. This is achieved by obscuring the deviation from piecewise-linearity in the underlying SSE signals using added noise. We verify its effectiveness on a range of model-generated synthetic SSE data with different noise levels, and demonstrate its superior performance compared to two existing methods. We illustrate its capability in detecting short-term SSEs in observed GPS data from 36 stations in southwest Japan via the co-occurrence of non-volcanic tremors, hypothesis tests and fault estimation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2202_12414
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Automated Detection of Short-term Slow Slip Events in Southwest Japan
Ma, Yiming
Anastasiou, Andreas
Montiel, Fabien
Applications
Methodology
Inferring from the occurrence pattern of slow slip events (SSEs) the probability of triggering a damaging earthquake within the nearby velocity weakening portion of the plate interface is critical for hazard mitigation. Although robust methods exist to detect long-term SSEs consistently and efficiently, detecting short-term SSEs remains a challenge. In this study, we propose a novel statistical approach, called singular spectrum analysis isolate-detect (SSAID), for automatically estimating the start and end times of short-term SSEs in GPS data. The method recasts the problem of detecting SSEs as that of identifying change-points in a piecewise non-linear signal. This is achieved by obscuring the deviation from piecewise-linearity in the underlying SSE signals using added noise. We verify its effectiveness on a range of model-generated synthetic SSE data with different noise levels, and demonstrate its superior performance compared to two existing methods. We illustrate its capability in detecting short-term SSEs in observed GPS data from 36 stations in southwest Japan via the co-occurrence of non-volcanic tremors, hypothesis tests and fault estimation.
title Automated Detection of Short-term Slow Slip Events in Southwest Japan
topic Applications
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2202.12414