Moment-based Invariants for Probabilistic Loops with Non-polynomial Assignments

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Kofnov, Andrey, Moosbrugger, Marcel, Stankovič, Miroslav, Bartocci, Ezio, Bura, Efstathia
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2022
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author Kofnov, Andrey
Moosbrugger, Marcel
Stankovič, Miroslav
Bartocci, Ezio
Bura, Efstathia
author_facet Kofnov, Andrey
Moosbrugger, Marcel
Stankovič, Miroslav
Bartocci, Ezio
Bura, Efstathia
contents We present a method to automatically approximate moment-based invariants of probabilistic programs with non-polynomial updates of continuous state variables to accommodate more complex dynamics. Our approach leverages polynomial chaos expansion to approximate non-linear functional updates as sums of orthogonal polynomials. We exploit this result to automatically estimate state-variable moments of all orders in Prob-solvable loops with non-polynomial updates. We showcase the accuracy of our estimation approach in several examples, such as the turning vehicle model and the Taylor rule in monetary policy.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2205_02577
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Moment-based Invariants for Probabilistic Loops with Non-polynomial Assignments
Kofnov, Andrey
Moosbrugger, Marcel
Stankovič, Miroslav
Bartocci, Ezio
Bura, Efstathia
Applications
Symbolic Computation
62G05 (Primary) 62P30 (Secondary)
G.3
We present a method to automatically approximate moment-based invariants of probabilistic programs with non-polynomial updates of continuous state variables to accommodate more complex dynamics. Our approach leverages polynomial chaos expansion to approximate non-linear functional updates as sums of orthogonal polynomials. We exploit this result to automatically estimate state-variable moments of all orders in Prob-solvable loops with non-polynomial updates. We showcase the accuracy of our estimation approach in several examples, such as the turning vehicle model and the Taylor rule in monetary policy.
title Moment-based Invariants for Probabilistic Loops with Non-polynomial Assignments
topic Applications
Symbolic Computation
62G05 (Primary) 62P30 (Secondary)
G.3
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.02577