Probability Distribution of Hypervolume Improvement in Bi-objective Bayesian Optimization

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Hauptverfasser: Wang, Hao, Yang, Kaifeng, Affenzeller, Michael
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2022
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author Wang, Hao
Yang, Kaifeng
Affenzeller, Michael
author_facet Wang, Hao
Yang, Kaifeng
Affenzeller, Michael
contents Hypervolume improvement (HVI) is commonly employed in multi-objective Bayesian optimization algorithms to define acquisition functions due to its Pareto-compliant property. Rather than focusing on specific statistical moments of HVI, this work aims to provide the exact expression of HVI's probability distribution for bi-objective problems. Considering a bi-variate Gaussian random variable resulting from Gaussian process (GP) modeling, we derive the probability distribution of its hypervolume improvement via a cell partition-based method. Our exact expression is superior in numerical accuracy and computation efficiency compared to the Monte Carlo approximation of HVI's distribution. Utilizing this distribution, we propose a novel acquisition function - $\varepsilon$-probability of hypervolume improvement ($\varepsilon$-PoHVI). Experimentally, we show that on many widely-applied bi-objective test problems, $\varepsilon$-PoHVI significantly outperforms other related acquisition functions, e.g., $\varepsilon$-PoI, and expected hypervolume improvement, when the GP model exhibits a large the prediction uncertainty.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2205_05505
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Probability Distribution of Hypervolume Improvement in Bi-objective Bayesian Optimization
Wang, Hao
Yang, Kaifeng
Affenzeller, Michael
Machine Learning
Hypervolume improvement (HVI) is commonly employed in multi-objective Bayesian optimization algorithms to define acquisition functions due to its Pareto-compliant property. Rather than focusing on specific statistical moments of HVI, this work aims to provide the exact expression of HVI's probability distribution for bi-objective problems. Considering a bi-variate Gaussian random variable resulting from Gaussian process (GP) modeling, we derive the probability distribution of its hypervolume improvement via a cell partition-based method. Our exact expression is superior in numerical accuracy and computation efficiency compared to the Monte Carlo approximation of HVI's distribution. Utilizing this distribution, we propose a novel acquisition function - $\varepsilon$-probability of hypervolume improvement ($\varepsilon$-PoHVI). Experimentally, we show that on many widely-applied bi-objective test problems, $\varepsilon$-PoHVI significantly outperforms other related acquisition functions, e.g., $\varepsilon$-PoI, and expected hypervolume improvement, when the GP model exhibits a large the prediction uncertainty.
title Probability Distribution of Hypervolume Improvement in Bi-objective Bayesian Optimization
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.05505