Application of Hawkes volatility in the observation of filtered high-frequency price process in tick structures

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteur principal: Lee, Kyungsub
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2022
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author Lee, Kyungsub
author_facet Lee, Kyungsub
contents The Hawkes model is suitable for describing self and mutually exciting random events. In addition, the exponential decay in the Hawkes process allows us to calculate the moment properties in the model. However, due to the complexity of the model and formula, few studies have been conducted on the performance of Hawkes volatility. In this study, we derived a variance formula that is directly applicable under the general settings of both unmarked and marked Hawkes models for tick-level price dynamics. In the marked model, the linear impact function and possible dependency between the marks and underlying processes are considered. The Hawkes volatility is applied to the mid-price process filtered at 0.1-second intervals to show reliable results; furthermore, intraday estimation is expected to have high utilization in real-time risk management. We also note the increasing predictive power of intraday Hawkes volatility over time and examine the relationship between futures and stock volatilities.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2207_05939
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Application of Hawkes volatility in the observation of filtered high-frequency price process in tick structures
Lee, Kyungsub
Statistical Finance
Computation
The Hawkes model is suitable for describing self and mutually exciting random events. In addition, the exponential decay in the Hawkes process allows us to calculate the moment properties in the model. However, due to the complexity of the model and formula, few studies have been conducted on the performance of Hawkes volatility. In this study, we derived a variance formula that is directly applicable under the general settings of both unmarked and marked Hawkes models for tick-level price dynamics. In the marked model, the linear impact function and possible dependency between the marks and underlying processes are considered. The Hawkes volatility is applied to the mid-price process filtered at 0.1-second intervals to show reliable results; furthermore, intraday estimation is expected to have high utilization in real-time risk management. We also note the increasing predictive power of intraday Hawkes volatility over time and examine the relationship between futures and stock volatilities.
title Application of Hawkes volatility in the observation of filtered high-frequency price process in tick structures
topic Statistical Finance
Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.05939