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Main Authors: Song, Yan, Dai, Wenlin, Genton, Marc G.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.12804
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author Song, Yan
Dai, Wenlin
Genton, Marc G.
author_facet Song, Yan
Dai, Wenlin
Genton, Marc G.
contents Low-rank approximation is a popular strategy to tackle the "big n problem" associated with large-scale Gaussian process regressions. Basis functions for developing low-rank structures are crucial and should be carefully specified. Predictive processes simplify the problem by inducing basis functions with a covariance function and a set of knots. The existing literature suggests certain practical implementations of knot selection and covariance estimation; however, theoretical foundations explaining the influence of these two factors on predictive processes are lacking. In this paper, the asymptotic prediction performance of the predictive process and Gaussian process predictions is derived and the impacts of the selected knots and estimated covariance are studied. We suggest the use of support points as knots, which best represent data locations. Extensive simulation studies demonstrate the superiority of support points and verify our theoretical results. Real data of precipitation and ozone are used as examples, and the efficiency of our method over other widely used low-rank approximation methods is verified.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2207_12804
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Large-Scale Low-Rank Gaussian Process Prediction with Support Points
Song, Yan
Dai, Wenlin
Genton, Marc G.
Methodology
Low-rank approximation is a popular strategy to tackle the "big n problem" associated with large-scale Gaussian process regressions. Basis functions for developing low-rank structures are crucial and should be carefully specified. Predictive processes simplify the problem by inducing basis functions with a covariance function and a set of knots. The existing literature suggests certain practical implementations of knot selection and covariance estimation; however, theoretical foundations explaining the influence of these two factors on predictive processes are lacking. In this paper, the asymptotic prediction performance of the predictive process and Gaussian process predictions is derived and the impacts of the selected knots and estimated covariance are studied. We suggest the use of support points as knots, which best represent data locations. Extensive simulation studies demonstrate the superiority of support points and verify our theoretical results. Real data of precipitation and ozone are used as examples, and the efficiency of our method over other widely used low-rank approximation methods is verified.
title Large-Scale Low-Rank Gaussian Process Prediction with Support Points
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.12804