Missing Values Handling for Machine Learning Portfolios

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Chen, Andrew Y., McCoy, Jack
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2022
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author Chen, Andrew Y.
McCoy, Jack
author_facet Chen, Andrew Y.
McCoy, Jack
contents We characterize the structure and origins of missingness for 159 cross-sectional return predictors and study missing value handling for portfolios constructed using machine learning. Simply imputing with cross-sectional means performs well compared to rigorous expectation-maximization methods. This stems from three facts about predictor data: (1) missingness occurs in large blocks organized by time, (2) cross-sectional correlations are small, and (3) missingness tends to occur in blocks organized by the underlying data source. As a result, observed data provide little information about missing data. Sophisticated imputations introduce estimation noise that can lead to underperformance if machine learning is not carefully applied.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2207_13071
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Missing Values Handling for Machine Learning Portfolios
Chen, Andrew Y.
McCoy, Jack
Methodology
General Finance
Applications
We characterize the structure and origins of missingness for 159 cross-sectional return predictors and study missing value handling for portfolios constructed using machine learning. Simply imputing with cross-sectional means performs well compared to rigorous expectation-maximization methods. This stems from three facts about predictor data: (1) missingness occurs in large blocks organized by time, (2) cross-sectional correlations are small, and (3) missingness tends to occur in blocks organized by the underlying data source. As a result, observed data provide little information about missing data. Sophisticated imputations introduce estimation noise that can lead to underperformance if machine learning is not carefully applied.
title Missing Values Handling for Machine Learning Portfolios
topic Methodology
General Finance
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.13071