Correlations Between COVID-19 and Dengue

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Bergero, Paula, Schaposnik, Laura P., Wang, Grace
Format: Preprint
Published: 2022
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author Bergero, Paula
Schaposnik, Laura P.
Wang, Grace
author_facet Bergero, Paula
Schaposnik, Laura P.
Wang, Grace
contents A dramatic increase in the number of outbreaks of Dengue has recently been reported, and climate change is likely to extend the geographical spread of the disease. In this context, this paper shows how a neural network approach can incorporate Dengue and COVID-19 data as well as external factors (such as social behaviour or climate variables), to develop predictive models that could improve our knowledge and provide useful tools for health policy makers. Through the use of neural networks with different social and natural parameters, in this paper we define a Correlation Model through which we show that the number of cases of COVID-19 and Dengue have very similar trends. We then illustrate the relevance of our model by extending it to a Long short-term memory model (LSTM) that incorporates both diseases, and using this to estimate Dengue infections via COVID-19 data in countries that lack sufficient Dengue data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2207_13561
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Correlations Between COVID-19 and Dengue
Bergero, Paula
Schaposnik, Laura P.
Wang, Grace
Populations and Evolution
Machine Learning
Physics and Society
A dramatic increase in the number of outbreaks of Dengue has recently been reported, and climate change is likely to extend the geographical spread of the disease. In this context, this paper shows how a neural network approach can incorporate Dengue and COVID-19 data as well as external factors (such as social behaviour or climate variables), to develop predictive models that could improve our knowledge and provide useful tools for health policy makers. Through the use of neural networks with different social and natural parameters, in this paper we define a Correlation Model through which we show that the number of cases of COVID-19 and Dengue have very similar trends. We then illustrate the relevance of our model by extending it to a Long short-term memory model (LSTM) that incorporates both diseases, and using this to estimate Dengue infections via COVID-19 data in countries that lack sufficient Dengue data.
title Correlations Between COVID-19 and Dengue
topic Populations and Evolution
Machine Learning
Physics and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.13561