Conformal Risk Control

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Angelopoulos, Anastasios N., Bates, Stephen, Fisch, Adam, Lei, Lihua, Schuster, Tal
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2022
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author Angelopoulos, Anastasios N.
Bates, Stephen
Fisch, Adam
Lei, Lihua
Schuster, Tal
author_facet Angelopoulos, Anastasios N.
Bates, Stephen
Fisch, Adam
Lei, Lihua
Schuster, Tal
contents We extend conformal prediction to control the expected value of any monotone loss function. The algorithm generalizes split conformal prediction together with its coverage guarantee. Like conformal prediction, the conformal risk control procedure is tight up to an $\mathcal{O}(1/n)$ factor. We also introduce extensions of the idea to distribution shift, quantile risk control, multiple and adversarial risk control, and expectations of U-statistics. Worked examples from computer vision and natural language processing demonstrate the usage of our algorithm to bound the false negative rate, graph distance, and token-level F1-score.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2208_02814
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Conformal Risk Control
Angelopoulos, Anastasios N.
Bates, Stephen
Fisch, Adam
Lei, Lihua
Schuster, Tal
Methodology
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Statistics Theory
We extend conformal prediction to control the expected value of any monotone loss function. The algorithm generalizes split conformal prediction together with its coverage guarantee. Like conformal prediction, the conformal risk control procedure is tight up to an $\mathcal{O}(1/n)$ factor. We also introduce extensions of the idea to distribution shift, quantile risk control, multiple and adversarial risk control, and expectations of U-statistics. Worked examples from computer vision and natural language processing demonstrate the usage of our algorithm to bound the false negative rate, graph distance, and token-level F1-score.
title Conformal Risk Control
topic Methodology
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2208.02814