The SPDE approach for spatio-temporal datasets with advection and diffusion

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Clarotto, Lucia, Allard, Denis, Romary, Thomas, Desassis, Nicolas
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2022
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author Clarotto, Lucia
Allard, Denis
Romary, Thomas
Desassis, Nicolas
author_facet Clarotto, Lucia
Allard, Denis
Romary, Thomas
Desassis, Nicolas
contents In the task of predicting spatio-temporal fields in environmental science using statistical methods, introducing statistical models inspired by the physics of the underlying phenomena that are numerically efficient is of growing interest. Large space-time datasets call for new numerical methods to efficiently process them. The Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach has proven to be effective for the estimation and the prediction in a spatial context. We present here the advection-diffusion SPDE with first order derivative in time which defines a large class of nonseparable spatio-temporal models. A Gaussian Markov random field approximation of the solution to the SPDE is built by discretizing the temporal derivative with a finite difference method (implicit Euler) and by solving the spatial SPDE with a finite element method (continuous Galerkin) at each time step. The ''Streamline Diffusion'' stabilization technique is introduced when the advection term dominates the diffusion. Computationally efficient methods are proposed to estimate the parameters of the SPDE and to predict the spatio-temporal field by kriging, as well as to perform conditional simulations. The approach is applied to a solar radiation dataset. Its advantages and limitations are discussed.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2208_14015
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The SPDE approach for spatio-temporal datasets with advection and diffusion
Clarotto, Lucia
Allard, Denis
Romary, Thomas
Desassis, Nicolas
Methodology
Statistics Theory
Applications
In the task of predicting spatio-temporal fields in environmental science using statistical methods, introducing statistical models inspired by the physics of the underlying phenomena that are numerically efficient is of growing interest. Large space-time datasets call for new numerical methods to efficiently process them. The Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach has proven to be effective for the estimation and the prediction in a spatial context. We present here the advection-diffusion SPDE with first order derivative in time which defines a large class of nonseparable spatio-temporal models. A Gaussian Markov random field approximation of the solution to the SPDE is built by discretizing the temporal derivative with a finite difference method (implicit Euler) and by solving the spatial SPDE with a finite element method (continuous Galerkin) at each time step. The ''Streamline Diffusion'' stabilization technique is introduced when the advection term dominates the diffusion. Computationally efficient methods are proposed to estimate the parameters of the SPDE and to predict the spatio-temporal field by kriging, as well as to perform conditional simulations. The approach is applied to a solar radiation dataset. Its advantages and limitations are discussed.
title The SPDE approach for spatio-temporal datasets with advection and diffusion
topic Methodology
Statistics Theory
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2208.14015