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Main Authors: Elboim, Dor, Peres, Yuval, Peretz, Ron
Format: Preprint
Published: 2022
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2209.05764
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author Elboim, Dor
Peres, Yuval
Peretz, Ron
author_facet Elboim, Dor
Peres, Yuval
Peretz, Ron
contents We analyze the asynchronous version of the DeGroot dynamics: In a connected graph $G$ with $n$ nodes, each node has an initial opinion in $[0,1]$ and an independent Poisson clock. When a clock at a node $v$ rings, the opinion at $v$ is replaced by the average opinion of its neighbors. It is well known that the opinions converge to a consensus. We show that the expected time $\mathbb E(τ_\varepsilon)$ to reach $\varepsilon$-consensus is poly$(n)$ in undirected graphs and in Eulerian digraphs, but for some digraphs of bounded degree it is exponential. Our main result is that in undirected graphs and Eulerian digraphs, if the degrees are uniformly bounded and the initial opinions are i.i.d., then $\mathbb E(τ_\varepsilon)=\text{polylog}(n)$ for every fixed $\varepsilon>0$. We give sharp estimates for the variance of the limiting consensus opinion, which measures the ability to aggregate information (``wisdom of the crowd''). We also prove generalizations to non-reversible Markov chains and infinite graphs. New results of independent interest on fragmentation processes and coupled random walks are crucial to our analysis.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2209_05764
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Asynchronous DeGroot Dynamics
Elboim, Dor
Peres, Yuval
Peretz, Ron
Probability
We analyze the asynchronous version of the DeGroot dynamics: In a connected graph $G$ with $n$ nodes, each node has an initial opinion in $[0,1]$ and an independent Poisson clock. When a clock at a node $v$ rings, the opinion at $v$ is replaced by the average opinion of its neighbors. It is well known that the opinions converge to a consensus. We show that the expected time $\mathbb E(τ_\varepsilon)$ to reach $\varepsilon$-consensus is poly$(n)$ in undirected graphs and in Eulerian digraphs, but for some digraphs of bounded degree it is exponential. Our main result is that in undirected graphs and Eulerian digraphs, if the degrees are uniformly bounded and the initial opinions are i.i.d., then $\mathbb E(τ_\varepsilon)=\text{polylog}(n)$ for every fixed $\varepsilon>0$. We give sharp estimates for the variance of the limiting consensus opinion, which measures the ability to aggregate information (``wisdom of the crowd''). We also prove generalizations to non-reversible Markov chains and infinite graphs. New results of independent interest on fragmentation processes and coupled random walks are crucial to our analysis.
title The Asynchronous DeGroot Dynamics
topic Probability
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2209.05764