Rethinking and Recomputing the Value of Machine Learning Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Sayin, Burcu, Yang, Jie, Chen, Xinyue, Passerini, Andrea, Casati, Fabio
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2022
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author Sayin, Burcu
Yang, Jie
Chen, Xinyue
Passerini, Andrea
Casati, Fabio
author_facet Sayin, Burcu
Yang, Jie
Chen, Xinyue
Passerini, Andrea
Casati, Fabio
contents In this paper, we argue that the prevailing approach to training and evaluating machine learning models often fails to consider their real-world application within organizational or societal contexts, where they are intended to create beneficial value for people. We propose a shift in perspective, redefining model assessment and selection to emphasize integration into workflows that combine machine predictions with human expertise, particularly in scenarios requiring human intervention for low-confidence predictions. Traditional metrics like accuracy and f-score fail to capture the beneficial value of models in such hybrid settings. To address this, we introduce a simple yet theoretically sound "value" metric that incorporates task-specific costs for correct predictions, errors, and rejections, offering a practical framework for real-world evaluation. Through extensive experiments, we show that existing metrics fail to capture real-world needs, often leading to suboptimal choices in terms of value when used to rank classifiers. Furthermore, we emphasize the critical role of calibration in determining model value, showing that simple, well-calibrated models can often outperform more complex models that are challenging to calibrate.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2209_15157
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Rethinking and Recomputing the Value of Machine Learning Models
Sayin, Burcu
Yang, Jie
Chen, Xinyue
Passerini, Andrea
Casati, Fabio
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
In this paper, we argue that the prevailing approach to training and evaluating machine learning models often fails to consider their real-world application within organizational or societal contexts, where they are intended to create beneficial value for people. We propose a shift in perspective, redefining model assessment and selection to emphasize integration into workflows that combine machine predictions with human expertise, particularly in scenarios requiring human intervention for low-confidence predictions. Traditional metrics like accuracy and f-score fail to capture the beneficial value of models in such hybrid settings. To address this, we introduce a simple yet theoretically sound "value" metric that incorporates task-specific costs for correct predictions, errors, and rejections, offering a practical framework for real-world evaluation. Through extensive experiments, we show that existing metrics fail to capture real-world needs, often leading to suboptimal choices in terms of value when used to rank classifiers. Furthermore, we emphasize the critical role of calibration in determining model value, showing that simple, well-calibrated models can often outperform more complex models that are challenging to calibrate.
title Rethinking and Recomputing the Value of Machine Learning Models
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2209.15157