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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yao, Yue, Goehring, Daniel, Reichardt, Joerg
Format: Preprint
Published: 2022
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.01696
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author Yao, Yue
Goehring, Daniel
Reichardt, Joerg
author_facet Yao, Yue
Goehring, Daniel
Reichardt, Joerg
contents Linear trajectory models provide mathematical advantages to autonomous driving applications such as motion prediction. However, linear models' expressive power and bias for real-world trajectories have not been thoroughly analyzed. We present an in-depth empirical analysis of the trade-off between model complexity and fit error in modelling object trajectories. We analyze vehicle, cyclist, and pedestrian trajectories. Our methodology estimates observation noise and prior distributions over model parameters from several large-scale datasets. Incorporating these priors can then regularize prediction models. Our results show that linear models do represent real-world trajectories with high fidelity at very moderate model complexity. This suggests the feasibility of using linear trajectory models in future motion prediction systems with inherent mathematical advantages.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2211_01696
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle An Empirical Bayes Analysis of Object Trajectory Representation Models
Yao, Yue
Goehring, Daniel
Reichardt, Joerg
Machine Learning
Linear trajectory models provide mathematical advantages to autonomous driving applications such as motion prediction. However, linear models' expressive power and bias for real-world trajectories have not been thoroughly analyzed. We present an in-depth empirical analysis of the trade-off between model complexity and fit error in modelling object trajectories. We analyze vehicle, cyclist, and pedestrian trajectories. Our methodology estimates observation noise and prior distributions over model parameters from several large-scale datasets. Incorporating these priors can then regularize prediction models. Our results show that linear models do represent real-world trajectories with high fidelity at very moderate model complexity. This suggests the feasibility of using linear trajectory models in future motion prediction systems with inherent mathematical advantages.
title An Empirical Bayes Analysis of Object Trajectory Representation Models
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.01696