Profit Shifting and International Tax Reforms

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Ferrari, Alessandro, Laffitte, Sébastien, Parenti, Mathieu, Toubal, Farid
Format: Preprint
Published: 2022
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author Ferrari, Alessandro
Laffitte, Sébastien
Parenti, Mathieu
Toubal, Farid
author_facet Ferrari, Alessandro
Laffitte, Sébastien
Parenti, Mathieu
Toubal, Farid
contents International taxation rules are outdated, allowing multinationals to shift profits to tax havens. This paper examines how tax reforms affect profit shifting and cross-country welfare. We propose a model that separates real economic profits from paper profits, introducing 'triangle identities' to estimate bilateral profit-shifting flows. Using macro- and firm-level data, paper profits' elasticity is three times that of the tax base. Global minimum tax reforms improve welfare by increasing public goods funding and reducing tax competition. We also identify optimal minimum rates under various taxing-right scenarios and demonstrate that unilateral destination-based-cash-flow-tax reforms' welfare effects depend highly on trade imbalances.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2211_04388
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Profit Shifting and International Tax Reforms
Ferrari, Alessandro
Laffitte, Sébastien
Parenti, Mathieu
Toubal, Farid
General Economics
Economics
International taxation rules are outdated, allowing multinationals to shift profits to tax havens. This paper examines how tax reforms affect profit shifting and cross-country welfare. We propose a model that separates real economic profits from paper profits, introducing 'triangle identities' to estimate bilateral profit-shifting flows. Using macro- and firm-level data, paper profits' elasticity is three times that of the tax base. Global minimum tax reforms improve welfare by increasing public goods funding and reducing tax competition. We also identify optimal minimum rates under various taxing-right scenarios and demonstrate that unilateral destination-based-cash-flow-tax reforms' welfare effects depend highly on trade imbalances.
title Profit Shifting and International Tax Reforms
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.04388