Transfer Learning with Large-Scale Quantile Regression

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Jin, Jun, Yan, Jun, Aseltine, Robert H., Chen, Kun
Format: Preprint
Published: 2022
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author Jin, Jun
Yan, Jun
Aseltine, Robert H.
Chen, Kun
author_facet Jin, Jun
Yan, Jun
Aseltine, Robert H.
Chen, Kun
contents Quantile regression is increasingly encountered in modern big data applications due to its robustness and flexibility. We consider the scenario of learning the conditional quantiles of a specific target population when the available data may go beyond the target and be supplemented from other sources that possibly share similarities with the target. A crucial question is how to properly distinguish and utilize useful information from other sources to improve the quantile estimation and inference at the target. We develop transfer learning methods for high-dimensional quantile regression by detecting informative sources whose models are similar to the target and utilizing them to improve the target model. We show that under reasonable conditions, the detection of the informative sources based on sample splitting is consistent. Compared to the naive estimator with only the target data, the transfer learning estimator achieves a much lower error rate as a function of the sample sizes, the signal-to-noise ratios, and the similarity measures among the target and the source models. Extensive simulation studies demonstrate the superiority of our proposed approach. We apply our methods to tackle the problem of detecting hard-landing risk for flight safety and show the benefits and insights gained from transfer learning of three different types of airplanes: Boeing 737, Airbus A320, and Airbus A380.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2212_06693
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Transfer Learning with Large-Scale Quantile Regression
Jin, Jun
Yan, Jun
Aseltine, Robert H.
Chen, Kun
Statistics Theory
Computation
Methodology
Quantile regression is increasingly encountered in modern big data applications due to its robustness and flexibility. We consider the scenario of learning the conditional quantiles of a specific target population when the available data may go beyond the target and be supplemented from other sources that possibly share similarities with the target. A crucial question is how to properly distinguish and utilize useful information from other sources to improve the quantile estimation and inference at the target. We develop transfer learning methods for high-dimensional quantile regression by detecting informative sources whose models are similar to the target and utilizing them to improve the target model. We show that under reasonable conditions, the detection of the informative sources based on sample splitting is consistent. Compared to the naive estimator with only the target data, the transfer learning estimator achieves a much lower error rate as a function of the sample sizes, the signal-to-noise ratios, and the similarity measures among the target and the source models. Extensive simulation studies demonstrate the superiority of our proposed approach. We apply our methods to tackle the problem of detecting hard-landing risk for flight safety and show the benefits and insights gained from transfer learning of three different types of airplanes: Boeing 737, Airbus A320, and Airbus A380.
title Transfer Learning with Large-Scale Quantile Regression
topic Statistics Theory
Computation
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.06693