Forecasting West Nile Virus with Graph Neural Networks: Harnessing Spatial Dependence in Irregularly Sampled Geospatial Data

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Tonks, Adam, Harris, Trevor, Li, Bo, Brown, William, Smith, Rebecca
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2022
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author Tonks, Adam
Harris, Trevor
Li, Bo
Brown, William
Smith, Rebecca
author_facet Tonks, Adam
Harris, Trevor
Li, Bo
Brown, William
Smith, Rebecca
contents Machine learning methods have seen increased application to geospatial environmental problems, such as precipitation nowcasting, haze forecasting, and crop yield prediction. However, many of the machine learning methods applied to mosquito population and disease forecasting do not inherently take into account the underlying spatial structure of the given data. In our work, we apply a spatially aware graph neural network model consisting of GraphSAGE layers to forecast the presence of West Nile virus in Illinois, to aid mosquito surveillance and abatement efforts within the state. More generally, we show that graph neural networks applied to irregularly sampled geospatial data can exceed the performance of a range of baseline methods including logistic regression, XGBoost, and fully-connected neural networks.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2212_11367
institution arXiv
publishDate 2022
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Forecasting West Nile Virus with Graph Neural Networks: Harnessing Spatial Dependence in Irregularly Sampled Geospatial Data
Tonks, Adam
Harris, Trevor
Li, Bo
Brown, William
Smith, Rebecca
Populations and Evolution
Machine Learning
Quantitative Methods
Applications
Machine learning methods have seen increased application to geospatial environmental problems, such as precipitation nowcasting, haze forecasting, and crop yield prediction. However, many of the machine learning methods applied to mosquito population and disease forecasting do not inherently take into account the underlying spatial structure of the given data. In our work, we apply a spatially aware graph neural network model consisting of GraphSAGE layers to forecast the presence of West Nile virus in Illinois, to aid mosquito surveillance and abatement efforts within the state. More generally, we show that graph neural networks applied to irregularly sampled geospatial data can exceed the performance of a range of baseline methods including logistic regression, XGBoost, and fully-connected neural networks.
title Forecasting West Nile Virus with Graph Neural Networks: Harnessing Spatial Dependence in Irregularly Sampled Geospatial Data
topic Populations and Evolution
Machine Learning
Quantitative Methods
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.11367