Graph State-Space Models and Latent Relational Inference

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Zambon, Daniele, Cini, Andrea, Alippi, Cesare
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2023
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author Zambon, Daniele
Cini, Andrea
Alippi, Cesare
author_facet Zambon, Daniele
Cini, Andrea
Alippi, Cesare
contents State-space models effectively model multivariate time series by updating over time a representation of the system state from which predictions are made. The state representation is usually a vector without any explicit structure. Relational inductive biases, e.g., associated with dependencies among input signals and state representations, are not explicitly exploited during processing, leaving unattended opportunities for effective modeling. The manuscript aims to fill this gap by matching state-space modeling and spatio-temporal data where the relational information, say the functional graph capturing latent dependencies, is learned directly from time series. In particular, we propose Graph State-Space Models, a novel probabilistic framework that jointly learns state-space dynamics and latent relational structures end-to-end on downstream tasks. The proposed framework generalizes several state-of-the-art methods and, as we show, is effective in extracting meaningful latent relational structures and obtaining accurate forecasts.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2301_01741
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Graph State-Space Models and Latent Relational Inference
Zambon, Daniele
Cini, Andrea
Alippi, Cesare
Machine Learning
State-space models effectively model multivariate time series by updating over time a representation of the system state from which predictions are made. The state representation is usually a vector without any explicit structure. Relational inductive biases, e.g., associated with dependencies among input signals and state representations, are not explicitly exploited during processing, leaving unattended opportunities for effective modeling. The manuscript aims to fill this gap by matching state-space modeling and spatio-temporal data where the relational information, say the functional graph capturing latent dependencies, is learned directly from time series. In particular, we propose Graph State-Space Models, a novel probabilistic framework that jointly learns state-space dynamics and latent relational structures end-to-end on downstream tasks. The proposed framework generalizes several state-of-the-art methods and, as we show, is effective in extracting meaningful latent relational structures and obtaining accurate forecasts.
title Graph State-Space Models and Latent Relational Inference
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.01741