Bayesian Additive Main Effects and Multiplicative Interaction Models using Tensor Regression for Multi-environmental Trials

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Main Authors: Santos, Antonia A. L. Dos, Sarti, Danilo A., Moral, Rafael A., Parnell, Andrew C.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author Santos, Antonia A. L. Dos
Sarti, Danilo A.
Moral, Rafael A.
Parnell, Andrew C.
author_facet Santos, Antonia A. L. Dos
Sarti, Danilo A.
Moral, Rafael A.
Parnell, Andrew C.
contents We propose a Bayesian tensor regression model to accommodate the effect of multiple factors on phenotype prediction. We adopt a set of prior distributions that resolve identifiability issues that may arise between the parameters in the model. Further, we incorporate a spike-and-slab structure that identifies which interactions are relevant for inclusion in the linear predictor, even when they form a subset of the available variables. Simulation experiments show that our method outperforms previous related models and machine learning algorithms under different sample sizes and degrees of complexity. We further explore the applicability of our model by analysing real-world data related to wheat production across Ireland from 2010 to 2019. Our model performs competitively and overcomes key limitations found in other analogous approaches. Finally, we adapt a set of visualisations for the posterior distribution of the tensor effects that facilitate the identification of optimal interactions between the tensor variables, whilst accounting for the uncertainty in the posterior distribution.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2301_03655
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian Additive Main Effects and Multiplicative Interaction Models using Tensor Regression for Multi-environmental Trials
Santos, Antonia A. L. Dos
Sarti, Danilo A.
Moral, Rafael A.
Parnell, Andrew C.
Machine Learning
We propose a Bayesian tensor regression model to accommodate the effect of multiple factors on phenotype prediction. We adopt a set of prior distributions that resolve identifiability issues that may arise between the parameters in the model. Further, we incorporate a spike-and-slab structure that identifies which interactions are relevant for inclusion in the linear predictor, even when they form a subset of the available variables. Simulation experiments show that our method outperforms previous related models and machine learning algorithms under different sample sizes and degrees of complexity. We further explore the applicability of our model by analysing real-world data related to wheat production across Ireland from 2010 to 2019. Our model performs competitively and overcomes key limitations found in other analogous approaches. Finally, we adapt a set of visualisations for the posterior distribution of the tensor effects that facilitate the identification of optimal interactions between the tensor variables, whilst accounting for the uncertainty in the posterior distribution.
title Bayesian Additive Main Effects and Multiplicative Interaction Models using Tensor Regression for Multi-environmental Trials
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.03655