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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Doser, Jeffrey W., Kéry, Marc, Saunders, Sarah P., Finley, Andrew O., Bateman, Brooke L., Grand, Joanna, Reault, Shannon, Weed, Aaron S., Zipkin, Elise F.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.05645
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author Doser, Jeffrey W.
Kéry, Marc
Saunders, Sarah P.
Finley, Andrew O.
Bateman, Brooke L.
Grand, Joanna
Reault, Shannon
Weed, Aaron S.
Zipkin, Elise F.
author_facet Doser, Jeffrey W.
Kéry, Marc
Saunders, Sarah P.
Finley, Andrew O.
Bateman, Brooke L.
Grand, Joanna
Reault, Shannon
Weed, Aaron S.
Zipkin, Elise F.
contents Species distribution models (SDMs) are increasingly applied across macroscales. Such models typically assume that a single set of regression coefficients can adequately describe species-environment relationships and/or population trends. However, such relationships often show nonlinear and/or spatially-varying patterns that arise from complex interactions with abiotic and biotic processes that operate at different scales. Spatially-varying coefficient (SVC) models can readily account for variability in the effects of environmental covariates. Yet, their use in ecology is relatively scarce due to gaps in understanding the inferential benefits that SVC models can provide compared to simpler frameworks. Here we demonstrate the inferential benefits of SVC SDMs, with a particular focus on how this approach can be used to generate and test ecological hypotheses regarding the drivers of spatial variability in population trends and species-environment relationships. We illustrate the inferential benefits of SVC SDMs with simulations and two case studies: one that assesses spatially-varying trends of 51 forest bird species in the eastern US over two decades and a second that evaluates spatial variability in the effects of five decades of land cover change on Grasshopper Sparrow occurrence across the continental US. We found strong support for SVC SDMs compared to simpler alternatives in both empirical case studies. These applications display the utility of SVC SDMs to help reveal the environmental factors that drive species distributions across both local and broad scales. We conclude by discussing the potential applications of SVC SDMs in ecology and conservation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2301_05645
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Guidelines for the use of spatially-varying coefficients in species distribution models
Doser, Jeffrey W.
Kéry, Marc
Saunders, Sarah P.
Finley, Andrew O.
Bateman, Brooke L.
Grand, Joanna
Reault, Shannon
Weed, Aaron S.
Zipkin, Elise F.
Applications
Species distribution models (SDMs) are increasingly applied across macroscales. Such models typically assume that a single set of regression coefficients can adequately describe species-environment relationships and/or population trends. However, such relationships often show nonlinear and/or spatially-varying patterns that arise from complex interactions with abiotic and biotic processes that operate at different scales. Spatially-varying coefficient (SVC) models can readily account for variability in the effects of environmental covariates. Yet, their use in ecology is relatively scarce due to gaps in understanding the inferential benefits that SVC models can provide compared to simpler frameworks. Here we demonstrate the inferential benefits of SVC SDMs, with a particular focus on how this approach can be used to generate and test ecological hypotheses regarding the drivers of spatial variability in population trends and species-environment relationships. We illustrate the inferential benefits of SVC SDMs with simulations and two case studies: one that assesses spatially-varying trends of 51 forest bird species in the eastern US over two decades and a second that evaluates spatial variability in the effects of five decades of land cover change on Grasshopper Sparrow occurrence across the continental US. We found strong support for SVC SDMs compared to simpler alternatives in both empirical case studies. These applications display the utility of SVC SDMs to help reveal the environmental factors that drive species distributions across both local and broad scales. We conclude by discussing the potential applications of SVC SDMs in ecology and conservation.
title Guidelines for the use of spatially-varying coefficients in species distribution models
topic Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.05645