Graphical Negative Multinomial and Multinomial Models with Dirichlet-type priors

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Main Authors: Danielewska, Iza, Kołodziejek, Bartosz, Wesołowski, Jacek, Zeng, Xiaolin
Format: Preprint
Published: 2023
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author Danielewska, Iza
Kołodziejek, Bartosz
Wesołowski, Jacek
Zeng, Xiaolin
author_facet Danielewska, Iza
Kołodziejek, Bartosz
Wesołowski, Jacek
Zeng, Xiaolin
contents Bayesian statistical graphical models are typically classified as either continuous and parametric (Gaussian, parameterized by the graph-dependent precision matrix with Wishart-type priors) or discrete and non-parametric (with graph-dependent structure of probabilities of cells and Dirichlet-type priors). We propose to break this dichotomy by introducing two discrete parametric graphical models on finite decomposable graphs: the graph negative multinomial and the graph multinomial distributions (the former related to the Cartier-Foata theorem for the graph genereted free quotient monoid). These models interpolate between the product of univariate negative binomial laws and the negative multinomial distribution, and between the product of binomial laws and the multinomial distribution, respectively. We derive their Markov decompositions and provide related probabilistic representations. We also introduce graphical versions of the Dirichlet and inverted Dirichlet distributions, which serve as conjugate priors for the two discrete graphical Markov models. We derive explicit normalizing constants for both graphical Dirichlet laws and establish their independence structure (a graphical version of neutrality), which yields a strong hyper Markov property for both Bayesian models. We also provide characterization theorems for graphical Dirichlet laws via respective graphical versions of neutrality, which extends previously known results.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2301_06058
institution arXiv
publishDate 2023
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Graphical Negative Multinomial and Multinomial Models with Dirichlet-type priors
Danielewska, Iza
Kołodziejek, Bartosz
Wesołowski, Jacek
Zeng, Xiaolin
Probability
Statistics Theory
62H22 (Primary) 60E05, 62E10 (Secondary)
Bayesian statistical graphical models are typically classified as either continuous and parametric (Gaussian, parameterized by the graph-dependent precision matrix with Wishart-type priors) or discrete and non-parametric (with graph-dependent structure of probabilities of cells and Dirichlet-type priors). We propose to break this dichotomy by introducing two discrete parametric graphical models on finite decomposable graphs: the graph negative multinomial and the graph multinomial distributions (the former related to the Cartier-Foata theorem for the graph genereted free quotient monoid). These models interpolate between the product of univariate negative binomial laws and the negative multinomial distribution, and between the product of binomial laws and the multinomial distribution, respectively. We derive their Markov decompositions and provide related probabilistic representations. We also introduce graphical versions of the Dirichlet and inverted Dirichlet distributions, which serve as conjugate priors for the two discrete graphical Markov models. We derive explicit normalizing constants for both graphical Dirichlet laws and establish their independence structure (a graphical version of neutrality), which yields a strong hyper Markov property for both Bayesian models. We also provide characterization theorems for graphical Dirichlet laws via respective graphical versions of neutrality, which extends previously known results.
title Graphical Negative Multinomial and Multinomial Models with Dirichlet-type priors
topic Probability
Statistics Theory
62H22 (Primary) 60E05, 62E10 (Secondary)
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.06058